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Daily greyhound racing analysis, previews, and insights.
Over the last seven days the model has covered 1,105 races, with the top-rated selection winning 25.3% of them and placing in 47.6%. Widen that out to any of the top three picks an...
Newcastle is one of the more box-sensitive tracks in the data right now, and the split isn't subtle. Trap 4 has won 18 of its last 59 races, a 30.5% strike rate, with trap 2 not fa...
Composite scores are a snapshot of where a dog stands right now, but it's the trajectory that often tells the more useful story, and today's data has thrown up a handful of dogs wh...
Of all the saved betting systems on the site, Profitable Foundation has been the standout over its sample to date: 36 qualifying runs, 12 winners, and 22 that hit the frame. That's...
Of all yesterday's races, the A2 over Sunderland's 450m at 17:56 was the one that told the most interesting story, mostly because the result and the predictions barely agreed with...
## Introduction Central Park's 19:06 A1 contest over 491 metres is one of those races that looks straightforward on the surface until you start pulling the threads apart. Our thre...
There's a fairly clear top rating on today's card, and it belongs to Moulton Kathleen, who runs in the Handicap over Sunderland's 450m trip at 18:53 from trap 6 for trainer E Y Bel...
Tonight's A1 over Central Park's 491m trip, off at 19:06, is the one to watch on a card that otherwise looks fairly straightforward. Just five go to traps, but it's a genuinely ope...
Eight winners from twenty-two runners over the last three months is a strike rate of 36.4%, and when you add in four more places, Gerry Holian's runners have hit the frame in well...
A decent day for the model yesterday. Across 143 races, the top-rated selection won 39 times, a strike rate of 27.3%, and was placed in 79 of those races on top of that. That's com...
Trap 4 has won five of its last ten races at Youghal, a 50% strike rate against a track average of 16.7% for that box. That's roughly three times what you'd expect if trap number m...
Over the last seven days the model has covered 1,097 races, and the headline numbers hold up well: a 25.2% first-pick win rate and a 46.1% first-pick place rate. Widen it to any of...
Monmore is a track where the draw matters more than most, and the numbers make the case clearly. Trap 3 has won 26.7% of the 60 races in this sample, comfortably the strongest box,...
This isn't about which dogs rate highest today, it's about which ones are trending in the right direction, and three names stand out from the pack. Aero Replace leads the way with...
Profitable Foundation has quietly put together one of the stronger weeks of any system on the site. From 37 qualifying runs it's landed 12 winners, a 32.4% strike rate, and added 2...
Yesterday's 15:13 Open Race at Towcester over 500m had a bit of everything: a short-priced favourite that got run down, a model-rated outsider that ran into the frame at big odds,...
## Introduction The 19:11 at Nottingham over 500 metres is a six-runner open race (OR grade) with a first prize of £350 — modest money, but these open-class sprints are rarely str...
Getaway Car tops today's ratings on the back of a run of form that reads better with every line you check. The trainer C R Morris has moved this dog up from A3 to A2 over the last...
The 19:11 Open Race over Nottingham's 500m looks a proper puzzle on paper, and that's exactly what makes it the pick of the night. Romeo Ability (trap 3) is comfortably the fastest...
Some trainers have a purple patch and it fades within a fortnight. J W Gaskin's numbers over the last three months suggest something more durable: 276 runners, 86 winners, a 31.2%...
A good day for the model yesterday. Across 120 races, the top pick won 37 times, a 30.8% strike rate that's comfortably above what a top-rated selection should return if the rating...
For anyone new to this: a trap bias simply measures how often a particular starting box produces the winner compared to what you'd expect if every trap had an equal chance. At Youg...
Over the last seven days of tracked results, the model has settled into a fairly consistent rhythm: a 25.1% first-pick win rate and a 45.6% first-pick place rate across 1,083 races...
Doncaster's trap data over its last 51 races throws up one clear standout: trap 6, the widest box on the track, has won 12 of 43 races for a 27.9% strike rate, comfortably the best...
Five dogs have shown big composite score jumps heading into today's cards, and the trajectory matters more than the raw number in each case. Good Levi leads the way with the sharpe...
Profitable Foundation has been one of the quieter success stories among our betting systems, and the numbers back it up. Over its sample of 43 runs, it's produced 13 winners and 28...
The 18:29 Open Race at Doncaster over 483m looked like a clean litmus test for the model heading in, with Swift Jericho installed as the top-rated pick from trap 1. It didn't work...
## Introduction This 3:13pm contest at Towcester over 500 metres is a fascinating puzzle, and one where my two main rating models are pointing in opposite directions. Our composit...
Lightfoot Elle carries the highest composite score on today's card at 76, and the case for her is written plainly in the form book. Trained by I Zivkovic and racing out of trap 6 a...
There's a genuine puzzle at the heart of today's 15:13 at Towcester, an Open Race over 500m that throws up three legitimate claims to victory. As Happy As Bryn holds the top compos...
M A Thomas has been one of the more reliable names in the yard over the last three months. From 23 runners, the record reads 8 wins and 3 further places - a 34.8% win rate and 13%...
Yesterday's 232 races produced a first-pick strike rate of 26.3% (61 wins), just above the model's rolling seven-day average of 25.1%, so nothing to complain about but nothing to s...
Youghal has produced a striking trap bias in trap 4 over its last ten races on record: five wins from ten, a 50% strike rate against a track-wide average of 16.7% for that box. In...
Over the last seven days of tracked results (993 races from 11 July to 17 July), the model's top pick has won 249 times — a 25.1% first-pick win rate — with a further 444 places, g...
Yarmouth rewards a dog that can get across from the middle of the track early, and the trap data over the last 44 races there backs that up clearly. Trap 3 leads the way at 30.8% (...
A handful of dogs have put together the kind of form improvement that's worth flagging before the market catches up. Topping the list is Yama Wizard, whose composite score has jump...
Profitable Foundation has quietly been one of the more consistent systems on the site over the past week. From 44 selections, it's landed 12 winners — a 27.3% strike rate — and its...
The 20:28 A3 over 525m at Waterford yesterday was the most compelling result of the night, and it's a race worth picking apart because almost nothing went to script. The model's t...
## Introduction A six-runner dash over 275 metres at Doncaster in an Open Race grade — and our prediction models can't quite agree on who should be favourite, which is exactly the...
Outdoor Cracker heads into Yarmouth's A8 over 462m tonight as the best-rated dog on the whole card, and the form book backs up the numbers. Trained by E G Samuels and drawn in trap...
There's a genuine gap in class on the clock in the 18:11 OR sprint at Doncaster tonight, and it belongs to Jays Pippin in trap 2. Drop your eye down the speed figures for this six-...
Patrick Guilfoyle's numbers over the last three months make for eye-catching reading: 49 runners, 23 winners, a 46.9% strike rate, with a further five seconds on top of that for a...
Yesterday was a solid one for the model. Across 223 races, the top-rated selection won 60 times — a 26.9% strike rate — and was placed in a further 101 races, meaning the first pic...
Trap 4 at Galway has been a standout box lately, winning 8 of the last 17 races run — a 47.1% strike rate that dwarfs the average trap win percentage of 17.3% across the track's si...
Once a week we open the books on the prediction models, and the last seven days cover a decent sample: 903 races between July 10 and July 16. The headline numbers first. The model...
If you are playing Sheffield, one number should shape your thinking before anything else: trap two has won 37 percent of the last 48 races at the track, 17 wins from 46 runs. No ot...
Every day we compare each runner's current composite score with where it stood a few weeks back, and the biggest movers tell you who is quietly coming to the boil. Five dogs on Fri...
Time for an honest look at Profitable Foundation, which has been the busiest system on the site this week with 43 selections. The name promises a lot. The week delivered rather les...
The most instructive race of Thursday night was the OR2 over 480 metres at Newcastle at 19:44, a five-runner open that turned the market on its head and left us with plenty to chew...
## Introduction There's an interesting puzzle here at Romford tonight over the 400m open race at 18:33, and I'll be honest with you — our prediction models aren't exactly singing...
The pick of Friday's card is open class racing at Romford, where six go to traps over 400 metres at 18:33, and the models cannot quite agree on it. Our headline rating narrowly sid...
Nothing on Friday's card rates higher than Mad For Cash, who goes from trap two in the 21:13 open over Romford's 575 metre trip. Her composite score of 70 is the standout number of...
Some strike rates make you check the numbers twice. Patrick Guilfoyle has sent out 41 runners in the last three months and 19 of them have won. That is a 46.3 percent win rate, and...
Thursday brought 132 races across the cards, and the model's first pick won 30 of them. That is a 22.7 percent strike rate, a touch below where we have been running this month, so...
Here is a number that jumps off the page: trap four at Mullingar has won five of the last ten races we have logged there. That is a 50 percent strike rate from a box that, across t...
Over the last eight days, the prediction models have processed 856 races. The headline first-pick win rate sits at 24.6%, with a place rate of 43.7%. Those numbers are broadly in l...
Hove has a trap bias problem, and if you're not aware of it, you're giving away edge. Over the last 50 races, trap 4 has won 11 from 36 runners for a 30.6% strike rate. To put that...
The composite scores don't lie when a dog is improving, and five runners today have jumped significantly since their last rating. The biggest mover is Emers Dex, whose score has le...
The system under the microscope this week is Profitable Foundation, which has generated 38 selections over the last seven days. On the face of it, the headline numbers are mixed: a...
The 20:07 A3 at Dunstall Park over 480 metres produced the kind of result that keeps greyhound racing fascinating. Ivys Holly, drawn in trap 1 and predicted to finish last of six b...
## Introduction Valley's 19:24 open race over 460 metres is a deceptively tricky puzzle to unpick. On the surface, this looks like a race built for **Baggios Wildcat** — and to be...
Tonight's standout card at Valley is the 19:24 Open Race over 460 metres, a six-runner affair that throws up a genuinely interesting puzzle. On paper, Baggios Wildcat (trap 2) look...
If one dog deserves the "pick of the day" tag tonight, it's Slingshot Poppy. The two-year-old bitch lines up in the 20:01 OR2 at Newcastle over 480 metres from trap 4, carrying a c...
E Soppitt's kennel has been in outstanding form over the last three months. From 20 runners, eight have won and five more have placed, giving a win rate of 40% and a combined win-a...
Tuesday's 143-race card was a tough day for first-pick backers. 29 winners from the top selection gives a 20.3% strike rate, below the rolling average. When you're backing at SP, d...
Here's a stat worth sitting with: over the last batch of races at Limerick, trap 5 has won 5 from 10. A 50% win rate from any trap at any track is eye-catching, but context matters...
Over the last seven days the model has been tested across 859 races, and the headline numbers hold up well against the standard we'd expect. The top selection won 25.6% of the time...
Nottingham rewards early positioning, and the data backs that up two different ways depending on how closely you slice it. Across all grades over the last 23 meetings, trap four ha...
This isn't about who's rated highest today — it's about who's improving fastest, and five dogs have put on more than 20 composite points since their last runs. That kind of jump us...
Profitable Foundation has been one of the more heavily-backed systems on the site, and its name tells you what it's built to do: find dogs with a solid all-round profile rather tha...
The 20:27 at Shelbourne Park, an A3 over 525m, was yesterday's most instructive race on the card, and it was won by a dog the model didn't have anywhere near the frame. Emilias Ang...
## Introduction Five runners go to traps for this 11:58 A1 over 500 metres at Nottingham, and on the face of it, the models are unusually aligned. Both our composite rating system...
The 11:58 at Nottingham is the top grade of the day, an A1 over 500m, and it throws up a proper litmus test for the market leader. Honour Bach draws trap two, the best box in the f...
Today's highest-rated runner is Newmoors Jupiter, trained by D K Hurlock, who lines up in trap three for the 12:12 at Harlow, an A6 over 415m. A composite score of 81 puts him well...
Over the last three months D A Dark has sent out 38 runners for 12 wins and 7 further places, a 31.6% strike rate that climbs to a 50% combined win-and-place figure once you add th...
Yesterday's card produced 112 races, and the model's top selection won 24 of them — a 21.4% strike rate that sits a little below where we'd normally expect it to land. The top pick...
Trap four at Kilkenny has been remarkable lately: six winners from ten races, a 60% strike rate against an average across all traps there of just 16.7%. That's nearly four times th...
Zooming out from single days, the last seven cards give a fair read on how the prediction models are actually doing right now. Across 865 races from 7 July through 13 July, the top...
With 65 races logged, Romford has one of the deepest data sets on the site, and the picture it paints is about as clear as trap bias gets. Trap 1 has won 23 of its 64 runs, a win r...
Away from tonight's picks, it is worth flagging a handful of dogs whose underlying figures have jumped sharply in recent runs, the kind of trajectory that often precedes a step for...
Profitable Foundation is one of the longer-running systems tracked on the site, and it is worth being straight about where it stands right now rather than only telling the flatteri...
The most interesting result from yesterday's card came in the 21:46 A1 at Nottingham over 500m, a race that turned the form book on its head. Saleen Stunner, sent off at a big 9.00...
## Introduction Both of our rating models are singing from the same hymn sheet here, which doesn't always happen — and when it does, I sit up and take notice. **Affane Fox** tops...
Northern Ireland handler Michael Taggart is enjoying one of the stronger three-month runs of any trainer on the site right now. From 27 runners he has landed 9 winners, a strike ra...
Sheffield's 13:33 handicap over 500m throws up the best-rated runner on the whole card in Slippy Richie, trained by M A P O'Donnell and drawn in trap 6. The composite score of 76 i...
The pick of tonight's card comes at Star Pelaw, where an A1 over 435m throws up a proper puzzle at 20:34. Jaydee Baby, drawn in trap 4, gets the nod, and the case is built on more...
Yesterday was a decent day for the model across a big programme of 135 races. The top-rated dog in each race won outright 35 times, a first-pick strike rate of 25.9 per cent, and m...
Kilkenny has thrown up one of the more striking trap patterns on the site at the moment. In the last 10 races logged at the track, trap 4 has produced 6 winners, a win rate of 60 p...
Over the last seven days the model has covered 870 races, and the headline numbers hold up well: a 26.6% first-pick win rate and a 44.6% first-pick place rate, with the any-top-3 f...
Harlow is a track where the draw matters more than most, and the numbers make that hard to ignore. Trap 4 has won 29.4% of its 68 races, nearly double what a neutral box would prod...
Five dogs on today's Form Watch have all jumped their composite score by at least 24 points recently, and the trajectory matters more than the raw number here — these are dogs whos...
Not every system spotlight is a good news story, and Profitable Foundation's recent numbers are a reminder why honesty matters more than hype. Over its last 38 recorded runs, the s...
The A2 grade race at Valley over 460m yesterday afternoon was the sort of result that's worth pulling apart properly, because it went almost entirely against what the model — and t...
## Introduction The 19:27 at Nottingham is a 305-metre open race with a first prize of £350 — a competitive sprint on a track that rewards pace and clean early running. Nottingham...
J W Gaskin's numbers over the last three months are the kind that make you sit up: 281 runners, 84 winners, a 29.9% strike rate, with a further 71 places on top for a combined win-...
Lightfoot Elle heads into tonight's Handicap at Kinsley as the best-rated dog on the card, and unlike a lot of composite-score toppers, the case for her holds up under scrutiny. Sh...
Nottingham's 305m sprint tonight throws up one of those races where the raw numbers and the eye-test pull in different directions, and that tension is what makes it worth a look. R...
Yesterday was a solid day for the model without being a standout one. Across 106 races, the top pick won 33 times and placed in 52, a first-pick win rate of 31.1%, comfortably abov...
Trap 4 at Kilkenny has been doing something well out of the ordinary lately: six winners from ten races, a 60% strike rate against an average trap win rate at the track of just 16....