Yesterday's card produced 112 races, and the model's top selection won 24 of them — a 21.4% strike rate that sits a little below where we'd normally expect it to land. The top pick also placed in 48 races in total, meaning it was first, second or third home in over 40% of races run.
The stronger story is in the top three picks combined. Across the day, one of the model's top three selections won 83 of the 112 races, a 74.1% any-top-3 win rate, and placed in 102 of them. That's a reassuring number even on a day when the outright top selection had a quieter time of it — it suggests the model was generally in the right area of each field, even when it didn't land on the exact winner.
Days like this happen. A 21.4% first-pick strike rate is on the low side of normal variance rather than a sign anything is broken, and the depth shown by the top-three figure backs that up. Worth watching whether it's a blip or the start of a short lean patch, but nothing here changes the overall picture.