Profitable Foundation is one of the longer-running systems tracked on the site, and it is worth being straight about where it stands right now rather than only telling the flattering parts of the story. Over its last 39 recorded runs it has found 10 winners, a 25.6 per cent strike rate, and 22 placed runners for a place strike rate of 56.4 per cent, a genuinely strong hit rate on paper. The problem is the prices. At level stakes the system shows a loss of 18.17 points backing to win, a return on investment of minus 46.6 per cent, and a further loss of 5.54 points each way, minus 14.2 per cent on the place side.
That combination, a healthy strike rate but a heavy loss, tells you exactly what kind of system this is. It is finding plenty of short-priced dogs that do go on to win or place, but not at odds generous enough to cover the ones that do not. This is the classic trap for a filter-based system built around solid, obvious form: it tends to agree with the market rather than find value against it, and when the market is right often enough but not generously priced, the sums do not add up over time.
With no picks flagged for today's card, there is nothing live to watch from Profitable Foundation right now. Given the recent numbers, anyone following this one would do well to treat it as a form guide rather than a betting strategy until the price side of the equation improves.