The pick of Friday's card is open class racing at Romford, where six go to traps over 400 metres at 18:33, and the models cannot quite agree on it. Our headline rating narrowly sides with Tiermana Scott in trap two, while the other two models both prefer Headford Eimear in six. When the numbers split like that, you are usually looking at a race worth watching rather than a foregone conclusion.
The case for Tiermana Scott is built on reliability and a strong finish. He is a confirmed closer with one of the best pace consistency scores in the field, and his best time here of 24.15 is right at the sharp end of what this race should take. He rarely runs a bad one, and over 400 metres at Romford a dog who is still picking up ground at the line is dangerous.
Headford Eimear is the opposite type entirely. She is quick to the bend, owns the best first bend rating in the race by a distance, and arrives on the back of a big effort in A2 company. The step back up in class is the question mark, but her average sectional is the fastest here and she matched Scott's clock with a 24.16 last time out.
So the shape is a classic one: Eimear blazing away from the wide draw, Scott hunting her down late. The wildcard is Droopys Bafta in five, whose best clock of 23.73 is comfortably the quickest in the race, though his recent form figures do not back the time up. Razldazl Tully will try to lead from four, but the sectionals suggest he cannot hold the top two.