Over the last seven days the model has covered 870 races, and the headline numbers hold up well: a 26.6% first-pick win rate and a 44.6% first-pick place rate, with the any-top-3 figures climbing to 65.4% for a winner and 88.9% for a place among the top three selections. That any-top-3 win rate in particular is the more telling number for most punters, since it reflects how often the model has correctly identified the right dog somewhere in its shortlist rather than demanding it nail the exact winner every time.
Day to day, the picture has been fairly steady rather than spiky. The 8 July card was the strongest of the week on volume and hit rate together, with 38 first-pick wins and 104 top-3 wins from 151 races. The 9 July card was the quietest by comparison, though still delivering a healthy 54 top-3 wins from just 80 races — a reminder that a lighter card doesn't necessarily mean weaker performance, just fewer opportunities. Yesterday, 12 July, sits comfortably above the weekly average on first-pick strike rate at 31.1%.
There's no obvious dip or blind spot across the week worth flagging — no single day where the model fell over on volume or where a particular grade or distance clearly dragged the numbers down. That consistency across a real spread of card sizes, from 80 races up to 151, is a better signal of a model working as intended than any single big day would be. The full breakdown, along with today's live results as they come in, is available on the results page.