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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Nijinskyd 4y 18 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 77 (3) | 59 (3) | 75 (2) | 70 (3) | 92 (1) | 92 (1) | 88 (1) | 55 (6) | 90 (1) | 90 (1) | 62 | 75 | 71 | 60 | 72 | 69 | 1 | 7/4JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Clongeel Bonod 2y 7 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 75 (3) | 78 (2) | 68 (3) | 88 (1) | 91 (1) | 87 (1) | 63 (2) | 51 (6) | 56 (4) | 58 (3) | 49 | 62 | - | 48 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Marlfield Diazd 5y 18 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 72 (2) | 85 (1) | 66 (2) | 57 (5) | 78 (2) | 41 (5) | 58 (3) | 24 (1) | 64 (3) | 53 (5) | 70 | 49 | 43 | 57 | 68 | 65 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Epic Evelynb 3y 11 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 59 | 92 (1) | 74 (2) | 69 (2) | 61 (3) | 70 (2) | 89 (1) | 49 (6) | 91 (1) | 91 (1) | 94 (1) | 35 | 81 | 18 | 68 | 71 | 64 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ashway Juneb 3y 8 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 90 (1) | 66 (5) | 90 (3) | 86 (1) | 64 (1) | 81 (4) | 67 (2) | 59 (4) | 58 (5) | - | 54 | 91 | 12 | 73 | 74 | 72 | 2 | 7/4JF | |
The structural pick at Valley 460m where Front Runners from inside draws dominate. Performance at ap72 is second-best — just 2 points behind T5's ap74. Front Runner profile (EP 59, CS 47, pCon 89) means she'll lead from the break, and the near-perfect pace consistency guarantees she runs to this level every time. Bend rating at bR55 is mid-field but from T1 the rail advantage saves ground through every one of Valley's tight bends. The CD record is outstanding: 6w/7p from 9 runs is a 67% win rate at Valley 460m with 78% placing. Suitability profile is strong across every dimension — sT75, sD60, sTr62, sC71 — the model sees an excellent fit. Trainer at 22% is moderate. Recent form at OR/A2/D1 shows versatility at the top end. The case against is the speed: sr50 is joint second but not dominant. However at Valley 460m the front-running + rail combination historically overrides raw speed advantages. The tight bends preserve the early lead and prevent faster dogs drawn wider from closing.
DANGER: ap74 (best) + CD 86% win rate + sT91 make this the most talented runner in the field. Extreme Closer profile at Valley 460m is the sole concern. When she fires, she's unstoppable — but pCon 0 means she may not fire at all.
PLACE PROSPECT: Good trap stats (32.31%) and consistent placing (2w/5p/8r) but ap64 is 8 points behind the best — too wide a gap at A1. Reliable for places, unlikely for the win.
STRONG EACH-WAY: Best trap suit (70), best CD consistency (5w/8p/10r), most balanced pace profile. But ap68 is 4-6 points behind the top two, preventing a primary selection.
PACE THREAT ONLY: Best speed (sr52), strong CD (5w/6p/9r), excellent suitability. But worst trap (10.61%) and Fader CS 39 at tight Valley 460m undermine the win case. Will be prominent early then fade.
T2 is the dominant trap at 32.31% from 65 runs — but from a small sample. T4 is the worst at 10.61% (66r). Comp R1 wins 27.13% from 188 runs. Speed R1 wins 26.46% — both strong. A1 is a high-quality tier where the composite model performs well.
T1:23.19% T2:32.31% T3:18.84% T4:10.61% T5:16.22% T6:24.42%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Nijinsky | 59 | 47 | Front Runner |
2Clongeel Bono | 50 | 55 | Closer |
3Marlfield Diaz | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Epic Evelyn | 61 | 39 | Fader |
5Ashway June | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.