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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Oi Weaseld 4y 28 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 68 | 23 (4) | 18 (6) | 35 (5) | 40 (6) | 25 (5) | 24 (4) | 38 (1) | 22 (6) | 57 (3) | 22 (4) | 40 | 41 | 22 | 39 | 56 | 49 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 3 | ▶ Rapido Firminod 4y 34 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 19 (6) | 25 (5) | 24 (4) | 30 (3) | 100 (1) | 21 (3) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 20 (5) | 34 (1) | 10 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ferndale Tricksb 4y 26 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 41 | 30 (6) | 38 (3) | 33 (1) | 21 (1) | 29 (5) | 32 (2) | 25 (1) | 37 (3) | 58 (6) | - | 38 | 40 | 43 | 41 | 61 | 51 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Faradays Larryd 2y 10 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 31 (1) | 19 (6) | 55 (4) | 67 (1) | 20 (5) | 30 (1) | 25 (3) | 22 (6) | 26 (4) | - | 35 | 34 | 43 | 42 | 55 | 46 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Millbank Lollyb 2y 7 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 26 (2) | 29 (1) | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 22 (6) | 19 (4) | 18 (6) | 25 (6) | 19 (3) | - | 28 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 56 | 42 | 4 | 6/1 | |
The speed leader at sr53 with elite early-pace credentials (EP 72, bR68) that make him functionally a Front Runner at Valley 260m despite the Fader label. At 260m the trip ends before any fading can develop, so the CS 40 is irrelevant — what matters is break speed and bend position, and T2 leads the field on both dimensions. Performance at ap56 is mid-field — second-best excluding the Closer — but at 260m speed and pace profile override performance rating entirely. CD record of 2w/4p from 9 runs shows consistent Valley 260m form (22% win, 44% place). Suitability is uniformly solid (sT41, sD39, sTr40) with no weaknesses. Recent form at D3 grade represents a class drop to D4 which is positive. Trainer at 14% is moderate for D-grade. The EP 72 + bR68 combination is decisive at this distance — he'll be in front through the bend and there's no time for anyone to catch him.
DANGER: Best perf (ap61) and near-best speed (sr52) but Closer at 260m is a structural negative. The class gap would trigger a class override at 460m but at ultra-short sprints, pace profile takes precedence. Primary threat if T2 stumbles.
OPPOSE: ap46 is 15 points behind the best, 0 wins from 10 CD attempts, and trap suit 10. Every metric argues against.
PLACE PROSPECT: Best trap (24.34%) and supreme consistency (pCon 91) but sr48 is 5 points behind the speed leader. The draw gives him a chance to place but not to win against faster opponents.
UNLIKELY: Worst speed in field (sr44, 9 behind R1) with poor suitability across all dimensions. The T6 draw provides a clean run but she's not fast enough to use it.
T5 is best trap (24.34% from 267r) but T2 (19.08% from 304r) is above average. Speed R1 wins 25.66% from 534 runs — dominant factor at 260m. Large dataset (1,672 runs) gives high confidence.
T1:14.91% T2:19.08% T3:17.18% T4:17.83% T5:24.34% T6:19.25%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.