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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lucky Lucianod 3y 7 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 33 (1) | 26 (4) | 20 (5) | 30 (2) | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 32 (3) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 33 (1) | 29 | 35 | 33 | 42 | 59 | 47 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Random Vickyb 4y 27 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 62 | 37 (2) | 31 (4) | 28 (4) | 43 (1) | 37 (2) | 19 (4) | 100 (1) | 83 (2) | 44 (1) | 43 (1) | 62 | 58 | - | 59 | 60 | 60 | 1 | 1/2F | |
| 3 | ▶ Daisy Doob 2y 25 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 53 | 22 (4) | 27 (2) | 17 (5) | 29 (2) | 30 (3) | 33 (1) | 25 (2) | 25 (2) | 25 (4) | 33 (4) | 42 | 49 | 68 | - | 54 | 50 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bale Out Lucyb 3yN/R 4 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 17 (6) | 31 (1) | 16 | 42 | 47 | 36 | 52 | 41 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Cassieb 6y 17 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 28 (1) | 23 (2) | 14 (6) | 14 (5) | 17 (4) | 17 (6) | 11 (6) | 20 (4) | 31 (1) | 28 (1) | 20 | 34 | 23 | 31 | 53 | 41 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Vanessas Redroseb 3y 7 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 44 | 26 (5) | 30 (2) | 33 (1) | 30 (1) | 24 (3) | 17 (5) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | 36 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 43 | 34 | 5 | 6/1 | |
A commanding selection with the widest speed gap on the entire Valley card. Speed at sr62 is NINE points clear of the next best (T1 at sr53) — at a distance where speed R1 wins 25.66% of races, this margin is decisive. Performance at ap60 is best in field. The All-Rounder profile (EP 55, CS 100, pCon 99) is exceptional — near-perfect pace consistency means she runs to this level every single time, and the CS 100 means she doesn't fade at all. Bend rating at bR62 is field-best with pace data. CD record of 4w/5p from 8 runs is a 50% win rate at Valley 260m — excellent. Suitability is strong across every dimension (sT58, sD59, sTr62) — the model sees outstanding fit with Valley D4 260m conditions. Class suitability at 0 from D3/A3 form indicates a significant class drop which only adds to the advantage. Trainer at 22% is moderate. Every meaningful metric points the same way — this is as close to a certainty as greyhound racing allows.
DANGER: Second-best speed (sr53) and perf (ap59) make him the obvious runner-up. CD 1w/5p/10r confirms consistent placing. But the 9-point speed gap and worst trap make winning very difficult unless the pick stumbles.
OPPOSE: 3/5 recent runs are trials — all form data is unreliable. sr15, sD0, zero CD runs. This is an unknown on debut at Valley 260m with contaminated metrics.
UNLIKELY: 13-point speed deficit to the pick is too wide at 260m. Placer profile (1w/5p/10r) confirms she finishes close but doesn't win.
UNLIKELY: Best trap (24.34%) is the sole positive. sr37 is 25 points behind the pick — the speed gap is too wide for any trap advantage to bridge.
OUTCLASSED: Lowest perf (ap50) and 16-point speed deficit to the pick. Class rise from D5 adds further difficulty. No realistic winning chance.
Speed R1 wins 25.66% from 534 runs at D4 260m — the dominant factor. T2 wins 19.08% from 304 runs — above average. With sr62 being 9 points clear, this is one of the widest speed gaps in the entire Valley card.
T1:14.91% T2:19.08% T3:17.18% T4:17.83% T5:24.34% T6:19.25%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.