Loading racecard
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Wings Of Warb 2y 15 | A L Jeffery — 20% R393 W77 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 29 (5) | 78 (4) | 96 (4) | 29 (2) | 69 (3) | 65 (4) | 45 (4) | 40 (1) | 40 (3) | - | 64 | 63 | 49 | 48 | 69 | 65 | 3 | 11/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Gizmo Cashoutd 2yN/R 9 | M A Thomas — 29% R17 W5 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | - | 39 (1) | 33 (3) | 32 (4) | 37 (1) | 29 (2) | 31 (2) | 38 (1) | 29 (4) | 27 (5) | 64 (5) | 72 | 85 | - | 70 | 70 | 72 | - | - | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ashway Blastoffd 3y 26 | A G Rawlings — 21% R232 W48 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 50 | 54 (6) | 68 (3) | 77 (2) | 81 (1) | 53 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (5) | 31 (4) | 40 (1) | 38 (1) | 53 | 70 | - | 63 | 72 | 67 | 2 | 11/8JF | ||
| 5 | ▶ Seeking Timesd 4y 23 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 40 (2) | 27 (5) | 36 (2) | 26 (4) | 100 (1) | 26 (5) | 100 (1) | 36 (1) | 40 (3) | - | 55 | 75 | 44 | 59 | 72 | 67 | 1 | 11/8JF | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hawkfield Faithb 4y 15 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 50 | 30 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 35 (2) | 29 (5) | 54 (5) | 57 (4) | 66 (4) | 32 (4) | 36 (6) | 50 | 45 | 35 | 50 | 60 | 55 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
Selected primarily on an extraordinary course and distance record: 7 wins and 7 places from 10 runs at Valley 260m — a 70% win rate that is among the highest CD conversion rates you'll find in any grade. This isn't a small sample anomaly; 10 runs is a statistically meaningful dataset that says this dog has solved Valley 260m. The suitability scores confirm it emphatically: track 85, distance 70, trap 72 — all the highest in the field by significant margins. Performance at ap70 is third-best, just 2 points behind the joint leaders. The concern is speed: sr43 is the lowest in the field by 3 points, and at 260m speed normally decides. But the 70% CD win rate proves that whatever this dog does at Valley 260m — whether it's bend mastery, break timing, or positional intelligence — it works despite the modest speed figure. One trial in the last 5 grades (OR, T1, OR, D3, D3) introduces mild average inflation. Class suitability at 0 from OR racing is noted but the D3 form is at D1 level, and the CD record transcends grade concerns.
DANGER: Best balanced profile — joint-best perf (ap72), second-best speed (sr55), strong CD (4w/7p/10r) and genuine D1 form (sC44). If speed proves more decisive than CD conversion rate today, this dog wins.
PLACE PROSPECT: Good trap suit (64) and CD form (3w/10r) but the speed deficit to the top two runners and lack of pace data keep this below the primary contenders. Solid each-way.
STRUCTURAL CONFLICT: Best speed (sr57) but Closer from worst trap (T4 at 10.75%) at 260m. The speed advantage is real but the pace profile and draw argue against selecting. Could still win on raw ability but can't be the primary selection.
OUTCLASSED: ap60 in a field averaging ap69 is a 9-point deficit. The T6 trap stat (27.78%) from 54 runs is unreliable and can't overcome the class gap. Weakest runner in the field.
T6 wins 27.78% but from only 54 runs — small sample. T4 is the worst trap at 10.75% (93r). Speed R1 wins 22.54% from 213 runs. Comp R1 wins 25.35% — strong gap to R2 (13.77%). D1 is top-tier D-grade with high predictability.
T1:18.92% T2:20.22% T3:17.78% T4:10.75% T5:12.87% T6:27.78%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.