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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ashway Divab 2y 9 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 58 | 76 (2) | 53 (5) | 50 (5) | 78 (2) | 61 (5) | 82 (2) | 88 (1) | 70 (2) | 83 (1) | 75 (2) | 36 | 20 | - | 17 | 52 | 41 | 2 | 10/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Charlied 5y 25 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 32 | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 74 (1) | 68 (1) | 40 (5) | 31 (4) | 45 (3) | 46 (3) | 43 (4) | 21 (1) | 46 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 59 | 50 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Crokers Ciand 2y 7 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 51 | 71 (1) | 71 (1) | 39 (6) | 69 (1) | 53 (3) | 46 (4) | 43 (4) | 52 (4) | 58 (4) | 70 (1) | 25 | 38 | - | 32 | 59 | 46 | 1 | 1/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ashway Amberb 4y 29 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 78 | 24 (6) | 45 (5) | 40 (5) | 52 (3) | 40 (5) | 41 (5) | 45 (2) | 41 (6) | 69 (1) | 53 (3) | 26 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 48 | 36 | 6 | 25/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballyregan Niamhb 4y 15 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 44 (5) | 60 (2) | 45 (4) | 77 (1) | 65 (1) | 56 (1) | 69 (2) | - | 27 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 54 | 41 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Coillbhui Catchyb 3y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 4 | 42 | 19 (4) | 24 (4) | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 21 (5) | 29 (1) | 30 (1) | 24 (1) | 19 (5) | 23 (2) | 45 | 35 | 43 | 46 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 14/1 | |
Selected on the combination of best speed (sr57, 2 points clear) and joint-best performance (ap59) in a race where the speed R2 > R1 inversion (25.41% vs 20.9%) at A6 460m actually favours the speed leader. Closer profile (EP 50, CS 69) is a concern at Valley 460m but this is a moderate Closer — EP 50 means he'll be mid-pack rather than last at the first bend, and CS 69 is strong enough to close effectively when the Faders collapse. CD record of 2w/4p from 10 runs is the best winning conversion in the field (20% win, 40% place). Speed and performance both rank first or joint first. Suitability is moderate (sT38, sD32, sTr25) but class suit at 0 from A5 form suggests a class rise which could explain the lower suitability scores. Recent form at A5/A6 is grade-appropriate. The Comp R1 signal at 30.15% is one of the strongest at Valley — when the top composite dog is the speed leader, the signal strengthens further.
DANGER: Only Front Runner at Valley 460m + best trap (20.45%) is a structurally strong case. sr55 (R2) and pCon 89 add substance. But ap52 is 7 below the top and 0 wins from 6 CD attempts is a red flag.
PLACE PROSPECT: Joint-best perf (ap59) and extreme closing speed (CS 89) but worst trap, worst EP, and worst bend rating at a tight track. Will close late but from too far back to win.
PACE-SETTER ONLY: EP 100 + bR78 will create an exciting early lead but CS 0 guarantees total collapse. Sets the pace for others to capitalise. Won't feature at the finish.
MID-PACK: Balanced profile and decent consistency but no single metric where she leads the field. 8-point speed deficit to the pick. Will finish mid-table.
OPPOSE: sr4 is an extreme outlier that makes this runner uncompetitive by any measure. 0w/0p from 3 CD runs. Cannot compete on pace from any position.
Comp R1 wins at an excellent 30.15% from 136 runs. But Speed R2 beats R1 (25.41% vs 20.9%) — unusual inversion suggesting the second-fastest dog often prevails at A6 460m. T2 is the worst trap (14.29% from 98r). A6 is DANGER ZONE grade with lower model reliability.
T1:20.45% T2:14.29% T3:20% T4:18.63% T5:19.15% T6:19.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ashway Diva | 56 | 51 | Front Runner |
2Ashway Charlie | 37 | 89 | Closer |
3Crokers Cian | 50 | 69 | Closer |
4Ashway Amber | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Ballyregan Niamh | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Coillbhui Catchy | 44 | 13 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.