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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Optic Bucksd 4y 13 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 38 | 45 | 76 (2) | 61 (4) | 81 (1) | 80 (1) | 68 (4) | 64 (3) | 68 (2) | 83 (1) | 69 (3) | 57 (2) | 50 | 56 | 60 | 44 | 64 | 58 | 4 | 6/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Hawkfield Tiktokd 2y 10 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 64 | 72 (2) | 77 (1) | 69 (3) | 46 (5) | 20 (2) | 38 (5) | 60 (3) | 54 (5) | 76 (2) | 61 (5) | 44 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 60 | 50 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Beaconsfield Boyd 4y 43 | P T Maynard — 22% R217 W47 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 46 | 56 (5) | 92 (5) | 57 (1) | 65 (4) | 80 (4) | 69 (1) | 72 (3) | 67 (3) | 48 (4) | - | 2 | 57 | 18 | 42 | 66 | 48 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Rollerballb 4y 27 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 61 | 42 (1) | 38 (2) | 39 (1) | 34 (2) | 31 (3) | 22 (2) | 23 (6) | 34 (3) | 34 (3) | 54 (4) | 50 | 64 | 39 | 49 | 63 | 59 | 3 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Ashway Marshyd 3y 7 | A G Rawlings — 21% R232 W48 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 39 | 70 (4) | 88 (1) | 87 (1) | 87 (1) | 56 (2) | 57 (4) | 79 (3) | 60 (3) | 16 (3) | 73 (2) | 69 | 35 | - | 37 | 66 | 60 | 1 | 6/5F | ||
Selected on the strength of a significant speed advantage: sr53 is 4 points clear of the next best (T4 at sr49) in a field where speed R1 wins 23.5% at Valley A3 460m. Joint-best performance at ap66 matches the danger runner exactly. The All-Rounder label (CS 50) describes a dog that maintains position — he won't fade like the Faders and won't need to close from last like the Closers. EP 0 is unusual for an All-Rounder and is the main concern — it suggests very slow getaway but the pacing data shows adaptation rather than pure closing. CD record of 2w/4p from 10 runs (20% win, 40% place) is solid from a full 10-run sample. Suitability is moderate (sT35, sD37, sTr32, sC36) — no standout dimension but no weakness either. T6 wins 18.85% at A3 460m — mid-pack. Recent form at OR and A2 confirms top-tier quality. The speed edge is the differentiator in a field where performance is bunched (ap60-66) — sr53 vs a field averaging sr44 is a material advantage that compensates for the moderate suitability and EP 0.
DANGER: Joint-best perf (ap66), best CD wins (3w/10r), best closing speed (CS 75). The Closer profile works when Faders set the pace. But trap suit 2 is a severe historical penalty — the worst trap fit in any race today.
UNLIKELY: Worst speed by a significant margin (sr38, 15 behind R1). Closer at tight Valley 460m compounds the problem. Good class fit (sC60) but can't bridge the speed deficit.
PACE-SETTER: Best bend rating (bR64) and supreme consistency (pCon 92) but CS 31 guarantees mid-race fading. Will lead early then surrender position. Place at best.
PACE-SETTER: Best EP (61), best trap (19.11%), best track suit (64). But CS 39 fading + sr41 speed make sustaining the early lead unlikely against the closers who'll pick up the pieces.
Remarkably even trap distribution (16.29-19.11%) — no trap has a significant edge at A3 460m. Speed R1 wins 23.5% from 366 runs. Comp R1 21.7% — modest gap to R2 (18.57%), suggesting A3 upsets are common. Middle grade with lower model reliability.
T1:18.9% T2:16.67% T3:18.22% T4:16.29% T5:19.11% T6:18.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Optic Bucks | 50 | 55 | Closer |
3Hawkfield Tiktok | 57 | 31 | Fader |
4Beaconsfield Boy | 41 | 75 | Closer |
5Rollerball | 61 | 39 | Fader |
6Ashway Marshy | 0 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.