Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Halfway Tigerd 5y 35 | P T Maynard — 21% R220 W46 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 76 | 16 (6) | 23 (2) | 21 (1) | 24 (3) | 31 (4) | 22 (1) | 43 (4) | 44 (3) | 67 (2) | - | 43 | 54 | - | - | 57 | 53 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Comer Sueb 2y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1166 W169 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 24 (4) | 20 (5) | 27 (3) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 21 (3) | 21 (5) | 27 (3) | 45 | 35 | 43 | 45 | 64 | 54 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Leahs Mollyb 4y 26 | A L Jeffery — 19% R388 W75 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 16 (6) | 27 (4) | 25 (2) | 21 (3) | 18 (4) | 24 (4) | 25 (2) | 29 (3) | 30 (2) | - | 39 | 31 | 41 | 33 | 57 | 47 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Pure Panfilad 3y 25 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1166 W169 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 24 | 42 (6) | 69 (1) | 19 (5) | 55 (2) | 45 (3) | 25 (3) | 17 (5) | 18 (2) | 48 (4) | 20 (4) | 21 | 26 | 15 | 28 | 57 | 42 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Mid West Daisyb 3y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1166 W169 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 24 (4) | 25 (1) | 18 (4) | 22 (2) | 16 (6) | 11 (6) | 15 (5) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 24 (2) | 30 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 59 | 46 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Rollover Lucyb 4y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1166 W169 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 27 (2) | 23 (2) | 26 (2) | 20 (3) | 26 (1) | 20 (5) | 13 (5) | 23 (3) | 24 (2) | 21 (4) | 29 | 21 | 32 | 17 | 60 | 44 | 5 | 11/4 | |
A commanding selection with the best performance in the field (ap64, 5 points clear of next best) and joint-best speed (sr55). This double R1 stack at a 260m sprint where speed R1 wins 30.67% is a powerful signal. Course and distance record of 2w/7p from 10 runs shows an exceptional 70% place rate — she's in the money seven times out of ten at Valley 260m. The 20% win rate is lower than T3's 40% but the sample is at a higher performance level. Suitability is solid across the board (sT35, sD45, sTr45, sC43) with no weak dimension. No pace profile data is the main uncertainty, but with sr55 and ap64, whatever her pace profile is, she has the class to deploy it effectively. T2 wins 21.4% at D5 260m — above average. Recent form at D4-D5 with an OR grade shows class depth. Trainer at 6% is low but irrelevant at D-grade. The OR in recent form suggests she's been tested at the top level — a class drop to D5 should be comfortable.
DANGER: Best CD win rate (40% from 10 runs) proves consistent Valley 260m winning ability. Speed deficit (sr51 vs sr55) and below-average trap are the vulnerabilities. Primary threat on track knowledge.
PACE-SETTER ONLY: EP 100 + bR76 will set a blistering early pace but CS 0 guarantees total collapse. Even at 260m, CS 0 is too extreme to hold. Will fade to the rear.
OPPOSE: Extreme Closer at Valley 260m with worst trap, worst bend rating, and poor suitability. Every metric says no.
PLACE PROSPECT: Second-best perf (ap59) and second-best trap (23.11%) but the 7-point speed deficit to the leaders is too wide at 260m. Will place but unlikely to win.
PLACE THREAT: Joint-best speed (sr55) + best trap (27.46%) is a strong combination for places. But the 4-point perf gap to the pick and 10% CD win rate prevent a primary selection. Strong each-way from the best draw.
Speed R1 wins 30.67% from 375 runs — dominant factor. T6 is best trap (27.46% from 193r), T5 second (23.11%). T2 wins 21.4% from 229r — above average. D-grade tier with high predictive power.
T1:16.53% T2:21.4% T3:16.18% T4:13.69% T5:23.11% T6:27.46%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.