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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Antond 4y 35 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 46 | 25 (2) | 18 (6) | 23 (4) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 20 (3) | 64 (1) | 15 (5) | 15 (6) | 18 (5) | 29 | 27 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 2 | 11/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Dels Graceb 2y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 21 (5) | 26 (3) | 29 (2) | 24 (2) | 23 (3) | 23 (2) | 18 (5) | 24 (3) | 17 (5) | 18 (3) | 37 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 24 | 29 | 5 | 5/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Pure Panfilad 3y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 26 | 42 (6) | 69 (1) | 19 (5) | 55 (2) | 45 (3) | 25 (3) | 17 (5) | 18 (2) | 48 (4) | 20 (4) | 38 | 25 | 14 | 27 | 37 | 35 | 4 | 7/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Not To Worrieb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (1) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 18 (4) | 25 (3) | 13 (6) | 22 | 31 | 49 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Tagalong Buckod 3y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | - | 63 (1) | 48 (5) | 61 (3) | 10 (1) | 13 (6) | 26 (5) | 9 (2) | 19 (6) | 63 (4) | - | 34 | 23 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 6 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Coillbhui Catchyb 3y 7 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 72 | 24 (4) | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 21 (5) | 29 (1) | 30 (1) | 24 (1) | 19 (5) | 23 (2) | 16 (6) | 44 | 59 | 22 | 36 | 25 | 35 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
The field's only dog with confirmed explosive early pace (EP 69, Bend 72, Fader PC 79) drawn in the most DOMINANT trap (T6 at 26.4% from 201 runs). At Valley 260m — the skill's clearest directive — Faders CAN hold because the trip is too short for the fade to kick in, meaning her EP 69 + Bend 72 effectively makes her a front runner for this distance. Speed 49 is middling but speed matters less than early pace at 260m. Suitability is the field's best (mean 40) with track suit 59 being comfortably the highest — confirming strong Valley results. The concern is recent form: P32→P24→P22→P11→P26→P39, and notably her last run was at A6 460m (P32 for 6th) — a completely different race type. The 460m form is irrelevant to her 260m sprint ability. Her earlier 260m D5 form included P24 for 2nd and P22 for 3rd — competitive. Trainer Morgan at 14% is weak but this is a structural pick, not a trainer play.
DANGER: Won at D5 260m last time and has adequate All-Rounder pace for this distance. But form is chaotic (P64 spike then P20 then P30 win) and neutral trap offers no structural edge. The recent win keeps him honest.
DANGER: Best speed (54) at a distance where SR1 wins 31.2% — that's a powerful individual signal fighting the DEAD T4 (14.0%/250r). The speed could overcome the trap disadvantage but it's a bet against the structure.
DOMINANT trap wasted on a pace-unknown dog with flat D5 form. The structural position adds a marginal edge but she lacks the speed or pace profile to exploit it.
Closer eliminated at 260m Valley. Best AvgP (37) but only 9 above field average — and even if it were 15 above, you can't close at Valley 260m. Worst bend rating (26) compounds the issue.
Cannot be supported. Speed 35 is catastrophically slow for a 260m sprint — 19 points behind the field leader. The DOMINANT T5 would help a faster dog but can't compensate for this deficit.
T6 dominates at 26.4% — 58% above expected rate from 201 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 31.2%. The field's only confirmed pace dog is in the dominant trap — that's convergence.
T1:16.7%/257r T2:22.0%/236r DOMINANT T3:16.5%/249r T4:14.0%/250r DEAD T5:22.6%/234r DOMINANT T6:26.4%/201r DOMINANT
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.