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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Boherdota Angelb 2y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 20 (4) | 17 (5) | 23 (3) | 14 (5) | 26 (1) | 17 (5) | 17 (4) | 27 (1) | 18 (3) | 14 (6) | 17 | 24 | 15 | 26 | 40 | 31 | 2 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Tobergal Suzanneb 3y 23 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 17 (6) | 25 (6) | 24 (3) | 22 (4) | 30 (3) | 22 (1) | 22 (2) | 27 (4) | 16 (1) | - | 49 | 33 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Leahs Mollyb 4y 25 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 16 (6) | 27 (4) | 25 (2) | 21 (3) | 18 (4) | 24 (4) | 25 (2) | 29 (3) | 20 (2) | - | 39 | 31 | 39 | 32 | 22 | 28 | 3 | 5/6F | |
| 4 | ▶ Chesters Boyd 4yN/R 35 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 0 | 62 (3) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 28 (2) | 32 (3) | 22 (6) | 33 (1) | 34 (6) | 20 (1) | - | 46 | 27 | 14 | 28 | 26 | 31 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mid West Daisyb 3yN/R 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 24 (4) | 25 (1) | 18 (4) | 22 (2) | 16 (6) | 11 (6) | 15 (5) | 22 (3) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 29 | 30 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 25 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Riot Co Martind 2yN/R 15 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 100 | 28 (2) | 18 (6) | 26 (5) | 34 (4) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 24 (3) | 18 (3) | - | - | 8 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 25 | - | - | |
Speed 56 is the highest in the field, drawn in the DOMINANT T2 (22.0% from 236 runs) on a sprint where speed rank 1 wins 31.2% of the time. That convergence of best speed + dominant trap is the strongest structural signal available. Suitability mean 35 is joint-highest in the field, with trap suit 49 being comfortably the best — confirming she's produced results at Valley from T2 before. Form is flat but consistent at D5 level (P24→P22→P22→P19→P27→P16); the most recent P24 for 2nd place shows she's competitive at this grade. Trainer Morgan at 14% is low but this isn't a trainer-driven pick. The case for Tobergal Suzanne is entirely structural: at Valley 260m D5, the fastest dog in a dominant trap with the best trap suitability is exactly what the condition data says wins these races.
DANGER: Massive class edge (AvgP 40, 14 points above field average) makes her dangerous if she breaks well, but speed 45 at a 260m sprint where speed rank 1 wins 31.2% means she's fighting the data. Watch the break — if she's prominent early, she could win on class alone.
DANGER: Dominant trap (22.6%/234r) with decent speed (53) but behind the pick on both speed and suitability. The right structural alternative if T2 underperforms.
Each-way contender at best. Good speed and suitability but neutral trap and inconsistent form keep her behind the dogs in dominant structural positions.
Structurally eliminated. Closer from the dead trap at 260m Valley — the combination of pace profile + trap position makes this impossible to support regardless of form.
Cannot be supported despite the perfect structural position. Critical trial warning (3/6 trials) makes form unreliable. Speed 42 is the field's worst. Trap suit 8 contradicts the dominant T6 signal. The trap will win races — but not with this dog in it.
Speed rank 1 wins 31.2% — the strongest single predictor at this distance/grade. Three DOMINANT traps (T2/T5/T6) makes draw critical. At D5 260m, raw speed and trap position dominate over form.
T1:16.7%/257r T2:22.0%/236r DOMINANT T3:16.5%/249r T4:14.0%/250r DEAD T5:22.6%/234r DOMINANT T6:26.4%/201r DOMINANT
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.