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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Ladyb 3y 24 | S A Howard — 16% R44 W7 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 50 (5) | 55 (5) | 32 (5) | 27 (4) | 40 (6) | 62 (5) | 87 (3) | 84 (1) | 54 (1) | - | 47 | 51 | 52 | 50 | 70 | 60 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Priorityd 3y 32 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 48 | 89 (4) | 92 (1) | 87 (1) | 63 (1) | 71 (2) | 84 (3) | 73 (1) | 78 (3) | 75 (3) | - | 34 | 44 | 52 | 50 | 78 | 61 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Clongeel Bonod 2y 6 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 75 (3) | 78 (2) | 68 (3) | 88 (1) | 91 (1) | 87 (1) | 63 (2) | 51 (6) | 56 (4) | 73 (3) | 45 | 69 | 37 | 45 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Marlfield Diazd 5y 18 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 56 | 72 (2) | 85 (1) | 66 (2) | 57 (5) | 78 (2) | 41 (5) | 58 (3) | 24 (1) | 64 (3) | 53 (5) | 47 | 66 | 66 | 56 | 70 | 63 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Gwyn Fleetd 2y 26 | J L Morris — 33% R27 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 52 | 47 (5) | 86 (1) | 47 (1) | 46 (1) | 48 (1) | 77 (4) | 76 (3) | 48 (1) | 67 (2) | 48 (1) | 41 | 79 | - | 30 | 62 | 57 | 5 | 10/11F | |
The class of this race — AvgP 78 is 8 points above the next best (Crokers Lady and Marlfield Diaz at 70), comfortably clearing the 6+ threshold for a class override. Form trajectory P84→P74→P78→P75→P90→P83 is outstanding — not a single run below P74 in the last six, with a P90 peak. That P84 last time was an A3 win (P84 for 1st), and she's consistently performing at a level that makes A2 look well within reach. Speed 59 is the field's best. She's a Closer (CS 55) which is structurally challenging at Valley 460m where tight bends favour front runners — but this is where the class override applies. When you're 8 points above the field on performance with five consecutive 74+ runs, you have the raw ability to close on dogs that are simply not as fast. Her Closer profile means she needs some early pace ahead to close into — T1 and T6 will provide that. Trainer Jeffery at 20% is moderate. T2 is neutral at 18.5%/178r. Suitability mean 45 is strong (Dst 50, Cls 52).
DANGER: DOMINANT T1 (25.5%/153r) + 31% trainer + P87 last time + suitability 50 = the structural favourite. Fader profile (CS 24) is the limitation — she'll lead but could she be caught by T2's closing speed? At Valley's tight bends, probably not — but T2's class edge makes it a question.
DANGER: Elite ceiling (P91, P89) + best suitability (59) + A2 competitive AvgP (70). But speed 34 is the worst by miles and form volatility (P49 latest) means you don't know which version shows up. When he's on, he's the best dog here. When he's off, he's last.
Solid Valley form (track suit 79) and decent A1 showing (P73 for 3rd) but the class gap to the top two (AvgP 62 vs 70-78) is too wide. A place contender at best.
P86 A3 win + 40% trainer + speed 60 are positives, but the form trajectory is a spike rather than sustained improvement. Class suit 0 at A2 and AvgP 62 (16 behind the pick) make it hard to support. The trainer signal is strong but can't overcome the class gap.
T1 dominates at 25.5% from 153 runs — 53% above expected. Composite R1 wins 27.1%. At A2 level the class gap between runners is usually smaller, but one dog here (T2) has a significant performance edge over the field. Speed ranks show SR1 23.2% and SR2 23.9% — unusually flat, suggesting the best speed dog doesn't always win at A2, likely because bend and pace management matter more at this level.
T1:25.5%/153r DOMINANT T2:18.5%/178r T3:18.7%/166r T4:16.9%/148r T5:19.1%/173r (VACANT) T6:18.1%/160r
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Crokers Lady | 57 | 24 | Fader |
2Droopys Priority | 49 | 55 | Closer |
3Clongeel Bono | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Marlfield Diaz | 50 | 38 | All-Rounder |
6Gwyn Fleet | 57 | 57 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.