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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Outlaw Gund 3y 310 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 59 (1) | 55 (2) | 43 (2) | 36 (3) | 32 (5) | 41 (2) | 41 (1) | 41 (1) | 25 (5) | 31 (3) | 64 | 48 | 18 | 48 | 42 | 46 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Fridays Arianab 2y 25 | R Peckham — 50% R14 W7 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 66 (6) | 100 (1) | 40 (2) | 29 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 30 | - | 30 | - | 9 | 5 | 15/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Browns Beautyb 2y 16 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 22 (6) | 18 (5) | 28 (6) | 22 (3) | 68 (5) | 38 (3) | 23 (2) | 29 (6) | 41 (4) | - | 42 | 44 | 33 | 44 | 37 | 39 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Youarethereasonb 5y 17 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 41 (1) | 25 (5) | 26 (5) | 34 (2) | 21 (6) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 30 (5) | 20 (6) | 31 (3) | 43 | 27 | 44 | 27 | 32 | 32 | 3 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Pullinamixerd 4y 16 | A Welch — 15% R313 W47 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 33 (2) | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 26 (3) | 30 (2) | 26 (2) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 26 (5) | 37 (1) | 31 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 4 | 20/1 | |
The pick based on powerful convergence of structural advantage and surging form. Drawn in T3 which is DOMINANT at 25.8% from 387 runs at Towcester 270m D2 — the strongest trap in this configuration. Form reads 38→22→29→41→65 with the latest 65 being transformative: it came at a higher grade (the grade adjustment in the data shows 120, suggesting she's dropped from a higher class). That 65 at a tougher grade translates to genuine surplus class at D2 level. The improvement trajectory from 29→41→65 is steep and recent, suggesting a dog hitting peak form right now. P37 is the second-best career average, but recent form is clearly the best in the race. All-Rounder profile (EP50/CS0 suggests more front-runner tendency despite the label) with pace scores of 80-82 in recent wins confirms strong early speed. Suitability is solid: track 44, distance 44, trap 42, class 33 — proven Towcester 270m credentials. Trainer M P Brown at 24% is in the solid tier.
DANGER: Outstanding venue pedigree (P42, Tp64, Tk48) from a strong structural draw. But form declining sharply from 41 to 21. If he reverses the trend he wins; if the decline continues he's mid-pack.
The 44% trainer is eye-catching but 2 career runs of 14-16 offer zero form evidence. A speculative play on trainer intent only — not enough data to recommend.
Genuine improver peaking at 42 last out, but speed 46 is the field's weakest and limits her sprint credentials. Place frame rather than winner.
Flat form, below-average speed, weak draw. Nothing in the data supports a competitive position in this 5-runner race.
T3 DOMINANT at 25.8% from 387 runs is the strongest structural signal. T1 also strong at 22.2% from 365 runs. With no T5 runner, the field is 5 dogs. Trainer F J Gray dominates at 35.7%(28) but no Gray runners today. SpeedRank R1 wins 24.6% confirming speed matters at sprint.
T1:22.2%(365) T2:21.2%(419) T3:25.8%(387) T4:19.1%(366) T5:13.2%(266) T6:16.4%(208)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.