| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyquinsheldond 2y 14 | V A Lea — 16% R182 W30 P80 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 29 (2) | 14 (6) | 18 (6) | 30 (1) | 30 (2) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 21 | 35 | 17 | 35 | 22 | 25 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Undergod 1y 25 | N J Deas — 17% R448 W77 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 41 (4) | 35 (4) | 46 (2) | 40 (5) | 47 (4) | 48 (2) | 47 (3) | 16 (5) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 35 | 14 | - | 14 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ruez Timetoshineb 2y 111 | S J Rayner — 19% R175 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 35 (1) | 28 (2) | 31 (2) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 16 (6) | 20 (5) | 25 (4) | 24 (5) | 55 | 44 | 37 | 46 | 27 | 34 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Unlikely Tomd 1y 37 | S Gaughan — 15% R33 W5 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 40 (4) | 58 (1) | 38 (3) | 46 (3) | 22 (6) | 31 (1) | 57 (4) | - | - | - | 15 | 61 | - | 61 | - | 16 | 3 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Antigua Burnb 3y 18 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W92 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 36 (1) | 27 (3) | 16 (6) | 28 (2) | 20 (6) | 23 (5) | 34 (2) | 30 (5) | 30 (2) | - | 31 | 28 | 45 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dark Ladyb 4y 16 | P A Braithwaite — 17% R53 W9 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 18 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (2) | 23 (4) | 19 (6) | 32 (1) | 23 (3) | 24 (5) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 31 | 30 | 39 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
The clear standout in this field. Performance 27 is the best by 2-3 points — not a huge gap at D4 grade, but meaningful when combined with everything else. Form reads 28→31→31→27→24 — three consecutive 27+ runs is the most consistent sequence in this race, and the 31s represent a genuine level above the rest of this field. Suitability is outstanding: track 44, distance 46, trap 55, class 37 — the highest individual scores across the board, confirming proven Towcester 270m form and strong T3 history. Speed 51 is joint-best alongside T5 Antigua Burn. Trainer S J Rayner at 22% is the strongest in the field and operates at 20% from 25 runs at these specific conditions. Drawn in T3 which hits 22.6% from 421 runs — a good structural position that aligns perfectly with the individual profile.
DANGER: The dominant trap advantage (27.5%) demands respect even with limited form. Track/distance suit confirms the dog has run here before. If she breaks well from T4, the structural geometry could carry her. But the 3-run sample with P=0 makes this speculative.
DANGER: Best speed in the field by a clear margin. At 270m sprint, raw speed can override draw. If she gets a clean break, the pace advantage is real. But T6 structural headwind keeps her as danger rather than pick.
Below field average on every metric except class suitability (17). The numbers don't support involvement at the business end.
Poor recent form (15 last out) and very low venue suitability. The T2 draw can't carry a dog running at this level.
Consistent but limited. Runs to a 22-26 ceiling that isn't high enough to win at D4. Fills a place frame at best.
T4 DOMINANT at 27.5% from 367 runs but the dog drawn there (Unlikely Tom) has only 3 career runs and P=0. T3 at 22.6% from 421 runs is a good structural draw for the best-rated dog. SpeedRank R1 wins 26.6% — speed matters at this sprint. F J Gray dominates as trainer at 34.6%(26) but no Gray runners today.
T1:17.8%(348) T2:20.2%(411) T3:22.6%(421) T4:27.5%(367) T5:20.4%(264) T6:16.6%(211)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyquinsheldon | 0.616 | — | — |
| 2 | Swift Undergo | 0.617 | 0.601 | — |
| 3 | Ruez Timetoshine | 0.616 | — | — |
| 4 | Unlikely Tom | 0.618 | 0.601 | 0.475 |
| 5 | Antigua Burn | 0.614 | — | — |
| 6 | Dark Lady | 0.616 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.