Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Snaffi Starb 2y 47 | D Jeans — 13% R247 W31 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 42 (5) | 31 (5) | 40 (4) | 32 (3) | 41 (2) | 27 (5) | 47 (1) | 38 (3) | 40 (2) | 46 (1) | 77 | 55 | 45 | 55 | 46 | 52 | 1 | 5/6F | |
| 2 | ▶ Under The Bridgeb 1y 14 | N J Deas — 17% R454 W77 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 40 (6) | 100 (1) | 39 (3) | 47 (1) | 32 (4) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 34 (2) | 27 (4) | 36 (1) | 65 | 72 | - | 72 | 35 | 47 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Limekiln Ziggyb 3y 24 | P A Braithwaite — 19% R53 W10 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (2) | 26 (5) | 42 (2) | 39 (2) | 41 (1) | 30 (4) | 32 (3) | 39 (2) | 36 (3) | 30 (5) | 53 | 53 | 55 | 53 | 37 | 43 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lion Kingd 4y 24 | P J Dolby — 13% R52 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 30 (5) | 26 (4) | 31 (4) | 32 (4) | 30 (3) | 16 (5) | 34 (2) | 41 (1) | 40 (1) | 34 (2) | 49 | 44 | 20 | 48 | 35 | 39 | 5 | 18/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaheny Stormb 2y 15 | P A Braithwaite — 19% R53 W10 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 29 (5) | 30 (4) | 33 (2) | 29 (5) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 41 (2) | 35 (4) | 37 (2) | 47 (1) | 45 | 45 | 22 | 45 | 38 | 40 | 2 | 5/2 | |
The standout pick on the entire Towcester card. The convergence here is remarkable: T1 DOMINANT at 28.1% from 135 runs at D1 grade, P46 is the field's best by a massive 8-point margin (next best is T5's 38), and suitability is outstanding across every dimension — track 55, distance 55, trap 77, class 45. That trap suit of 77 is the highest individual suitability score in any race on today's card, confirming an exceptional record from T1 at Towcester 270m. Fader profile (EP100/CS0) sounds alarming on paper, but at 270m sprint this is actually the perfect profile — EP100 means she will be first out of the boxes and first to the bend, every time. At sprint distance, the race is effectively decided by the first bend, and CS0 is irrelevant because there aren't enough metres left for closing speed to matter. Form reads 41→27→46→38→40 — volatile (27 low) but the 46 peak matches her P exactly, and the 38-41 cluster represents her baseline which is still 8+ above any rival. Pace scores of 83-89 across recent runs are the highest in the field. Trainer D Jeans at 10% is weak, but the structural + form + suitability convergence is so overwhelming that trainer is irrelevant.
DANGER: Best speed (54) from a strong structural position (T5 at 23.9%). Form is volatile (30-46 range) but the 42 last out shows current capability. If she breaks level with Snaffi Star, the speed edge gives her a chance. But P38 vs P46 is a significant quality gap.
Knows the track (suit 72/72) but declining form from 42 to 27 and worst speed in the field (42) mean she can't convert venue knowledge into competitive advantage. The class gap to Snaffi Star is too large.
Balanced venue profile but 9 points below Snaffi Star on P. In a race with NORMAL separation (11.8pp gap between R1 and R3), the top dog wins materially more often. Ziggy is a solid runner but outclassed here.
Inconsistent form and weakest draw (17.1%). Trainer Dolby at 26% is the best handler signal but can't overcome the 11-point P deficit to the pick plus the structural disadvantage. Mid-division at best.
Strong composite rank separation (R1 26.4% vs R3 14.6% = 11.8pp gap). At D1 grade, the top-rated dog has a genuine statistical edge — this is NOT a low-separation race. T1 DOMINANT at 28.1%. Trainer L G Tuffin at 33.3%(21) is the standout handler but no Tuffin runners today.
T1:28.1%(135) T2:22.9%(153) T3:22.6%(159) T4:17.1%(123) T5:23.9%(142) T6:10.1%(89)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.