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The future of racing: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Socrates Smiledb 1y 14 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 50 (4) | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 52 (3) | 71 (1) | 53 (3) | 73 (1) | 57 (2) | 52 (2) | - | 44 | 51 | - | 51 | - | 21 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sandling Bunnyb 5y 35 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 71 (1) | 55 (3) | 44 (5) | 42 (4) | 66 (1) | 50 (3) | 41 (5) | 37 (5) | 47 (2) | 39 (4) | 37 | 32 | 27 | 27 | 48 | 41 | 2 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyhill Patsyd 2y 16 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 61 | 35 (5) | 36 (6) | 39 (4) | 51 (3) | 57 (2) | 60 (1) | 52 (2) | 44 (3) | 30 (1) | 29 (1) | 55 | 49 | - | 30 | 26 | 36 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ferryforth Blueyb 3y 17 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 57 (2) | 50 (4) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 51 (4) | 53 (4) | 34 (6) | 44 (5) | 45 (4) | 44 (4) | 35 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 49 | 40 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Da Great Conord 5y 24 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 11 (6) | 27 (5) | 32 (6) | 71 (1) | 35 (5) | 48 (3) | 66 (6) | 47 (1) | 56 (6) | - | 26 | 30 | 65 | 31 | 50 | 40 | 1 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Renaes Babyb 2yN/R 24 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 51 (4) | 55 (3) | 53 (2) | 55 (2) | 71 (1) | 56 (3) | 69 (1) | 32 (6) | 34 (6) | 31 (6) | 35 | 25 | 16 | 25 | 53 | 43 | - | - | |
Da Great Conor draws the DOMINANT T5 position at 25.4% from 55 runs — the clearest structural signal in this race, running 52% above the expected 16.7% rate. His Closer profile (CS 100) means he'll close from behind, and at T5 he has the widest outside angle to track the pace without getting caught in first-bend traffic. AvgP 50 is the best in the field alongside Renaes Baby's 53, and his class suit of 65 is the highest — confirming he belongs at A6 level. Speed 48 and bend 46 are mid-pack. His form is volatile — 48→15→66→48→56 — with a 15 in there that drags the average down, but the 66 shows his ceiling is well above this field. Won HP recently (P71) and placed at A6 (3rd at P48). Trainer Mavrias at 20% is moderate. The case is primarily structural: DOMINANT trap + best class suit + competitive avgP. The volatility introduces uncertainty, making this Speculative rather than Medium — but the structural edge from T5 is the single strongest signal in the race.
DANGER: Brabon 30% + recent A6 win + consistent Closer from positive T2 position. The trainer signal is the most reliable predictor in this competitive field. If the Faders collapse ahead of him, Sandling Bunny is the Closer best placed to capitalise from T2's inside angle.
Best suitability in the field but only trial form — impossible to assess competitive ability. The All-Rounder profile and decent suit scores suggest he belongs, but backing a dog with zero competitive runs requires a leap of faith too far.
Best bend rating (61) with Fader pace from T3, but stepping up from D4/D5 to A6 with the field's lowest competitive avgP (26). The bend advantage will get her to the front but holding at A6 level is unproven.
Improving form is genuine (regularly hitting 61-63) but DEAD T4 at 12.3% creates a structural headwind that his avgP 49 can't override. Needed a better draw to convert his form into wins.
Highest avgP (53) is misleading — recent form of 32→34→31 shows sharp decline. T6's 10.5% is the worst structural position. A dog going backwards from the worst draw. Hard to support despite the headline number.
346 runs. T5 is clearly DOMINANT at 25.4% from 55 runs — 52% above expected rate. T4 is DEAD at 12.3% from 65 runs. T6 also poor at 10.5% from 38 runs (small sample). Composite R1 wins 20.8% — NORMAL separation. D P Brabon 20.0% from 10 runs is the notable trainer. The T5 dominance is the headline signal — whoever draws T5 has a significant structural edge.
T1:17.0% T2:19.1% T3:15.3% T4:12.3% T5:25.4% T6:10.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Socrates Smiled | 50 | 41 | All-Rounder |
2Sandling Bunny | 50 | 59 | Closer |
3Hollyhill Patsy | 65 | 0 | Fader |
4Ferryforth Bluey | 55 | 34 | Fader |
5Da Great Conor | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Renaes Baby | 42 | 88 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.