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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tesseractb 4y 34 | S Mavrias — 17% R239 W40 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 40 | 44 (5) | 78 (4) | 66 (4) | 83 (1) | 65 (3) | 49 (6) | 56 (5) | 67 (3) | 58 (4) | - | 38 | 25 | - | 41 | 68 | 53 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Coppice Dakotab 3y 15 | L E Morrison — 21% R193 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 59 | 54 (4) | 63 (4) | 93 (1) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 77 (2) | 91 (1) | 65 (5) | 49 (5) | 77 (2) | 62 | 60 | 37 | 50 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bonnie Wee Rosieb 2y 15 | L E Morrison — 21% R193 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 60 (4) | 65 (4) | 63 (4) | 66 (5) | 64 (5) | 66 (4) | 72 (5) | 89 (1) | 61 (4) | 54 (6) | 61 | 54 | 20 | 43 | 68 | 62 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ask The Universeb 2y 5 | G Andreas — 16% R284 W46 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 47 (5) | 68 (3) | 70 (3) | 88 (1) | 63 (4) | 92 (1) | 63 (2) | 84 (2) | 65 (4) | 92 (1) | 53 | 75 | 61 | 60 | 70 | 66 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Snowdrop Louiseb 2yN/R 26 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R538 W102 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 54 | 37 (6) | 64 (4) | 88 (1) | 46 (1) | 29 (5) | 39 (3) | 43 (1) | 35 (3) | 65 (3) | 86 (1) | 42 | 55 | - | 25 | 51 | 47 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kitmins Jessicab 2y 14 | G Andreas — 16% R284 W46 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 45 | 71 (3) | 49 (6) | 53 (4) | 61 (5) | 56 (5) | 59 (3) | 73 (2) | 53 (5) | 72 (1) | 62 (3) | 45 | 53 | 23 | 42 | 66 | 57 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
Ask The Universe draws the DOMINANT T4 position at 25.7% from 152 runs — the highest trap win percentage on the entire Central Park card and 54% above the expected 16.7% rate. This alone makes him the structural favourite. Add to that the best avgP in the field at 70, the best suitability at 62 (track 75, distance 60, trap 53, class 61 — all strong), and a form trajectory of 23→65→89→88→83 that shows remarkable recent improvement — three consecutive 83+ perfs after starting at 23. The Fader profile (EP 100, CS 0) is the one concern at 491m, but Central Park's 44% all-the-way rate means Faders hold more often than at any other UK track at this distance. His EP 100 means he'll explode from the boxes, and from T4 the path to the first bend is clear — he doesn't have the rail traffic of T1-T2 and doesn't have the wide path of T5-T6. Trainer Andreas at 18% is average, but the individual numbers are so strong that trainer becomes a tiebreaker at best. He was placed at OR and OR3 recently (5th, 4th, 3rd) — A1 should be well within reach.
DANGER: DOMINANT T1 (20.9%) + improving form (55→46→65→70→79) + just won A2 = a genuine threat to the pick. The Closer profile is partially mitigated by the rail. The step from A2 to A1 and lowest suitability (26) are the key risks, but the form trajectory suggests she's ready for this level.
Best suitability in the field (52 mean) but declining form (21→35 in last two) makes it hard to trust. The venue knowledge is there but the current ability isn't matching. Needs to recapture earlier form to feature.
Strong structural position (T3 19.9%) and excellent suitability (44) but recent form doesn't match the raw numbers. Last A1 run here was 5th. Needs to find her Central Park form to contend.
EP 100 means she'll compete for early position but avgP 51 and speed 40 are both well below A1 standard. The OR win looks like an outlier. Outclassed by the field leaders and unlikely to feature beyond the first bend.
The field's most consistent runner (70→66→87→85→82) but drawn in the below-average T6 position against two DOMINANT-drawn rivals. She'll run her usual high-60s perf but may not get the positioning from T6 to convert. Consistently near the frame but the T6 structural position caps her winning chance.
1,081 runs. T4 is overwhelmingly DOMINANT at 25.7% from 152 runs — 54% above expected rate and the highest trap win% on the entire card. T1 also DOMINANT at 20.9% from 211 runs. Composite R1 wins 21.8% — NORMAL separation. D P Brabon 30.4% from 23 runs is the best trainer. Speed rank 1 wins 23.0%. This race has two DOMINANT traps creating a structural pick-danger framework.
T1:20.9% T2:14.9% T3:19.9% T4:25.7% T5:18.1% T6:16.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tesseract | 19 | 100 | Closer |
2Coppice Dakota | 49 | 75 | Closer |
3Bonnie Wee Rosie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ask The Universe | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Snowdrop Louise | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Kitmins Jessica | 51 | 25 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 575m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tesseract | — | 0.608 | — | 0.625 |
| 2 | Coppice Dakota | — | 0.602 | 0.631 | — |
| 3 | Bonnie Wee Rosie | — | 0.606 | 0.631 | — |
| 4 | Ask The Universe | — | 0.601 | — | — |
| 6 | Kitmins Jessica | — | 0.610 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.