| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Flyhigh Siennab 4y 25 | I E Walker — 13% R240 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 54 | 30 (5) | 24 (6) | 38 (5) | 34 (5) | 26 (5) | 54 (1) | 25 (6) | 31 (4) | 23 (3) | 17 (6) | 19 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Listen Angieb 1y 5 | R Williams — 15% R326 W49 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 49 | 39 (3) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 50 (2) | 44 (2) | 43 (3) | 26 (1) | 23 (5) | 37 (6) | - | 24 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 38 | 34 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lady Lazarusb 4y 26 | M T Field — 20% R240 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 43 | 36 (5) | 25 (6) | 24 (6) | 44 (3) | 29 (5) | 26 (6) | 37 (4) | 35 (4) | 38 (3) | 38 (4) | 30 | 35 | 21 | 21 | 43 | 38 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hillend Julieb 1y 17 | R Williams — 15% R326 W49 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 58 | 40 (2) | 37 (3) | 24 (6) | 55 (1) | 31 (5) | 49 (2) | 41 (4) | 25 (6) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | 46 | 37 | - | - | 26 | 31 | 4 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rathsilla Vaderd 4y 23 | I E Walker — 13% R240 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 38 | 34 (4) | 33 (5) | 25 (6) | 32 (6) | 34 (4) | 41 (2) | 39 (3) | 20 (5) | 23 (6) | 27 (5) | 23 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 32 | 28 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bathams Nectarb 3y 110 | P Meek — 12% R78 W9 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 51 | 41 (2) | 40 (4) | 44 (3) | 48 (2) | 38 (4) | 38 (3) | 36 (3) | 36 (4) | 41 (2) | 48 (2) | 35 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 41 | 36 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
Lady Lazarus has the field's best average performance (P43) and field-best speed (62 — 5 points clear of the next best). At A8 grade where composite R1 wins 27.69% from 65 runs, being the top-rated dog carries genuine predictive weight. The Closer profile (EP41/CS100, pace consistency 75) is perfectly suited to this race shape: Hillend Julie's Fader (CS3) will set the early pace and weaken, and Lady Lazarus will time her closing run through the straight. Form is consistent: P38→P55→P38→P47→P37 — reliable mid-to-high 30s with a P55 peak (1st at A7) showing ability above this A8 grade. Track suit 35 and distance suit 21 are moderate. Trainer Field at 24% is above average — an awareness-tier signal. T3 at 16.67% from 42 runs is slightly below expected — no structural tailwind, but no severe headwind either. The case: field-best P + field-best speed + Closer profile exploiting Fader + above-average trainer + composite R1 predictive power at A8.
DANGER: Dominant trap position (T2, 22.22%) with competitive performance and balanced pace profile. The P23 last-time-out is a concern, but the structural case is strong and the volatile form includes P54/P55 peaks that would win this easily. The trap advantage gives her a genuine chance.
Decent structural position (T1, 20%) but declining form and poor suitability make this a weak selection. Mid-field at best.
Will set the pace with best early speed (EP60, bend 58) but the full Fader profile (CS3) at 480m + zero distance suitability means she'll weaken through the closing stages. A pace-setter, not a winner.
Dead T5 draw (7.84%) + declining form + poor suitability = clear oppose. Even the viable Closer profile can't overcome a trap that produces winners less than 1 in 12 times.
Consistent performer with solid all-round metrics (P41, Spd57, PCons82) but lacks the edge to beat the field-best Lady Lazarus or the structurally-advantaged Listen Angie. Place contender.
262 runs. Composite R1 wins 27.69% — ratings DO separate at A8. R2 drops to 14.81%, so the gap between R1 and R2 is large (12.88pp). The best-rated dog has a genuine advantage. Speed R1 wins 24.19%. T5 is severely dead at 7.84%.
T1:20% T2:22.22% T3:16.67% T4:20% T5:7.84% T6:17.65%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Flyhigh Sienna | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
2Listen Angie | 49 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Lady Lazarus | 41 | 100 | Closer |
4Hillend Julie | 60 | 3 | Fader |
5Rathsilla Vader | 33 | 100 | Closer |
6Bathams Nectar | 51 | 48 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flyhigh Sienna | 0.631 | 0.629 |
| 2 | Listen Angie | — | 0.621 |
| 3 | Lady Lazarus | — | 0.626 |
| 4 | Hillend Julie | 0.614 | 0.624 |
| 5 | Rathsilla Vader | 0.633 | 0.630 |
| 6 | Bathams Nectar | — | 0.622 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.