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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Americand 4y 24 | P A Holder — 12% R142 W17 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 52 | 49 (5) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 30 (3) | 80 (1) | 51 (4) | 43 (6) | 30 (3) | 46 (6) | 64 (4) | 44 | 44 | 48 | 42 | 63 | 56 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Porthall Finnd 2y 16 | N M Slowley — 16% R99 W16 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 45 (6) | 47 (6) | 81 (1) | 65 (2) | 70 (3) | 70 (3) | 80 (1) | 80 (1) | 68 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 | 47 | - | 61 | 52 | 50 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Inclement Dreamb 2y 9 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 69 (2) | 64 (3) | 62 (4) | 52 (5) | 46 (5) | 73 (3) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 49 (5) | 61 (4) | 51 | 22 | - | 30 | 63 | 53 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lovelandb 2y 9 | R Short — 18% R132 W24 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 56 (4) | 80 (1) | 42 (6) | 55 (5) | 13 (5) | 72 (2) | 68 (2) | 52 (5) | 51 (6) | 85 (1) | 37 | 27 | 14 | 27 | 62 | 51 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ King Pharlapd 2y 7 | J Bateson — 10% R42 W4 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 55 (6) | 71 (2) | 61 (4) | 70 (3) | 52 (6) | 79 (2) | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 58 (5) | - | 51 | 39 | 23 | 28 | 57 | 51 | 4 | 2/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Seomra Opheliab 2y 27 | C A Gilbert — 18% R57 W10 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 43 | 89 (3) | 84 (2) | 93 (3) | 70 (3) | 58 (5) | 100 (1) | 48 (6) | 55 (5) | 48 (5) | - | 39 | 57 | 47 | 37 | 76 | 65 | 1 | 9/4 | |
Seomra Ophelia is the field's standout performer at P76 — 13 points clear of anyone else. The form is outstanding: P100→P69→P68→P64→P19→P68. That P100 last-time-out was a 4th place at OR grade — running at Open Race level and still posting a P100 performance confirms this dog is operating at a level far above A2. Before that: P69 (1st at OR) and P68 (3rd at Towcester). The pure Closer profile (EP0/CS100) is perfectly suited to this race shape: two Faders (Inclement Dream EP57/CS0, Loveland EP62/CS0) will burn out ahead, and Seomra Ophelia will time her closing run. Suitability is strong: track 57 (field-best), distance 37, trap 39, class 47 (field-best). Trainer Gilbert at 26% is above average. T6 at 16.67% from 30 runs is neutral — no structural tailwind, but the flat trap distribution (only T1 at 22.5% stands out) means there's no severe trap headwind either. The case is pure class: P76 average + P100/P69/P68 recent form + Closer exploiting Faders. In a race with relatively flat trap distribution, raw ability matters more than draw.
DANGER: Back-to-back A3 wins (P82, P77) represent the best current form momentum in the race. Fader profile (CS0) at 480m is the key risk against T6's pure Closer, but the performance peaks are high enough to lead the field if the fade isn't too severe. Genuine win threat.
Best structural position (T1, 22.5%) with solid suitability, but pace inconsistency (49) and significant class gap to T6 (13 points) limit the case. Capable of a big run (P89 peak) but can't be relied on.
Spectacular recent form trajectory (P80 last, 1st at A3) with field-best pace consistency (94) and distance suit (61). But P52 average and only one run at this level make the improvement unproven at A2. Interesting but can't be confident.
Will set the early pace (EP62, field-best) but full Fader profile at 480m and recent poor form at A2 (5th, 6th) suggest she'll lead and fade. Strong trainer (30%) and proven A2 ability (P85) keep her relevant but too inconsistent for selection.
Best trainer (Bateson 36%) and decent speed (57) but pace consistency of 0 makes this completely unreliable. Recent form (P17, P16) is poor. One to avoid despite the trainer signal.
248 runs. T1 at 22.5% is the only above-average trap, rest are flat at 16-18%. Composite R1 20.25% — moderate separation. The trap distribution is relatively fair, meaning form and speed carry more weight here than in heavily trap-biased races.
T1:22.5% T2:17.02% T3:17.65% T4:17.95% T5:17.07% T6:16.67%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift American | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Porthall Finn | 48 | 71 | Closer |
3Inclement Dream | 57 | 0 | Fader |
4Loveland | 62 | 0 | Fader |
5King Pharlap | 46 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Seomra Ophelia | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.