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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Limekiln Pamb 6y 13 | N P Ralph Jnr — 18% R50 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 46 | 48 (5) | 57 (3) | 23 (5) | 49 (4) | 55 (4) | 64 (2) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 51 (3) | 59 (2) | 38 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 54 | 46 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Mercia Bridab 3y 15 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 37 | 53 (3) | 71 (1) | 51 (3) | 57 (2) | 24 (5) | 57 (3) | 61 (3) | 65 (2) | 48 (4) | 25 (5) | 42 | 24 | 40 | 40 | 51 | 46 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fahee Anneb 3y 28 | R Lambe — 21% R126 W26 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 56 | 43 (5) | 42 (6) | 61 (2) | 60 (3) | 66 (3) | 49 (4) | 65 (3) | 63 (3) | 61 (3) | 77 (1) | 22 | 25 | - | 24 | 55 | 44 | 5 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ridgedale Zunib 2y 27 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 62 | 27 (4) | 31 (6) | 37 (6) | 53 (6) | 52 (3) | 45 (5) | 26 (5) | 74 (4) | 22 (1) | - | 32 | 35 | 31 | 29 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Lynnia Maisieb 1y 17 | M T Field — 22% R237 W52 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 51 | 43 (4) | 61 (3) | 35 (6) | 70 (1) | 67 (1) | 46 (4) | 60 (2) | 43 (5) | 45 (5) | 68 (1) | 22 | 41 | - | 33 | 49 | 43 | 1 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Tee Emgee Flyerd 2y 7 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 67 (1) | 41 (5) | 66 (1) | 55 (2) | 42 (6) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 45 (4) | 68 (1) | 50 (4) | 42 | 37 | - | 32 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 4/1 | |
Lynnia Maisie arrives at A5 off consecutive wins at A6 — P66 and P59, showing a dog hitting form at the right time. The All-Rounder profile (EP52/CS7) means she has enough early pace to be competitive through the bends without the full Fader liability. Trainer M T Field at 24% is above average — an awareness-tier signal. Track suit 41 is the best in the field, confirming solid Dunstall Park experience. Distance suit 33 shows she handles 480m. The form trajectory tells the story: P66→P59→P35→P38→P52→P34 — the two most recent runs (P66, P59) show a clear step forward from the mid-30s she was running earlier. That improvement pattern is genuine, not a one-off spike. T5 at 18.82% from 85 runs is neutral — no structural tailwind but no headwind either. The case for Lynnia Maisie rests on the convergence of improving form, best track suitability, above-average trainer, and a viable pace profile. In a LOW SEPARATION race where composite rankings are near-random, momentum and condition fit carry the argument.
DANGER: Structural trap dominance (24.05%) combined with Closer profile that exploits the rail. Competitive P54 and reliable form. The main reservation is modest suitability scores and below-average trainer — otherwise this would be the pick.
Capable but unreliable. Her best form (P71) would win this easily, but her worst (P25) puts her last. The inconsistency prevents a confident pick despite decent structural positioning.
Highest raw rating but everything else is against her — declining form (P43, P42), class suit of 0, below-average trap, weak trainer. The data says the P55 average is deceiving at these conditions.
Will lead early but the Fader profile at 480m is a proven liability. Erratic form and structurally weak trap make this a probable front-runner who fades to mid-field. Set the pace for the Closers to exploit.
Hard to make a case from the dead draw. T6 wins just 1 in 12 at these conditions, and the dog's P49 offers no class override. Deakin at 28% is a positive but can't overcome the structural mismatch. One to oppose.
490 runs. LOW SEPARATION — R1 18.05% vs R3 12.77% is only 5.28pp and the composite rankings are nearly random with R5 at 22%. Trap bias is the primary signal: T1 dominates at 24.05%, T6 is severely dead at 8.54%. Speed R1 13.74% — unusually low, suggesting speed alone isn't decisive at A5 480m.
T1:24.05% T2:20.25% T3:15.38% T4:14.94% T5:18.82% T6:8.54%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Limekiln Pam | 44 | 99 | Closer |
2Mercia Brida | 40 | 100 | Closer |
3Fahee Anne | 51 | 56 | Closer |
4Ridgedale Zuni | 60 | 0 | Fader |
5Lynnia Maisie | 52 | 7 | All-Rounder |
6Tee Emgee Flyer | 49 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.