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JENNINGSBET BEST ODDS GUARANTEED STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Lumiered 4y 28 | J R Hall — 21% R329 W68 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 62 | 67 (3) | 64 (4) | 66 (3) | 63 (4) | 77 (1) | 73 (2) | 81 (2) | 48 (1) | 24 (5) | - | 49 | 60 | 30 | 25 | 58 | 53 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Blue Bananad 3y 15 | S W Deakin — 16% R516 W85 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 50 | 77 (1) | 57 (4) | 61 (4) | 44 (6) | 49 (5) | 60 (4) | 32 (3) | 31 (3) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 46 | 36 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 37 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Cloakroomd 3y 15 | R Williams — 15% R323 W49 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 0 | 28 (5) | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 33 (2) | 35 (2) | 22 (3) | 29 (2) | 28 (4) | 25 (4) | 52 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 31 | 35 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Pandemonium Blued 4y 24 | K S Harrison — 16% R347 W57 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 11 (6) | 23 (4) | 18 (6) | 23 (5) | 36 (3) | 36 (1) | 21 (1) | 21 (5) | 23 (6) | - | 59 | 38 | 20 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Moanteen Mollyb 3y 16 | G B Ballentine — 15% R108 W16 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 31 (2) | 33 (2) | 33 (2) | 28 (3) | 33 (2) | 23 (4) | 22 (6) | 36 (1) | 33 (2) | 31 (3) | 34 | 43 | 43 | 40 | 32 | 34 | 2 | 11/4 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Halcrow Belterb 5y 25 | J Bateson — 10% R39 W4 P24 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 25 (6) | 26 (4) | 26 (4) | 31 (4) | 32 (4) | 32 (3) | 26 (6) | 28 (5) | 41 (1) | 25 (6) | 41 | 34 | 47 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 6 | 9/4F | ||
The class gap here is extraordinary. Antigua Lumiere has an average performance of 58 in a field where nobody else exceeds 36 — that's a 22-point chasm, nearly four times the 6-point threshold for a class override. This dog was running P73 at A2 and P81 at A3 just last week at 480m — dropping to D3 at 270m is like entering a sprint from another universe. The Fader profile (EP55/CS38) would be a concern at 480m but at 270m there's physically insufficient distance for the closing speed deficiency to matter. Track suitability of 60 is the best in the field, confirming plenty of Dunstall Park experience. Trap 1 is neutral at 17.12% from 111 runs, so there's no structural headwind to overcome. The form trajectory shows P73→P81 in the two most recent meaningful runs, with the earlier dips (P48, P24) coming when trialling or adjusting to new conditions. Trainer J R Hall at 16% is unremarkable, but when you're this far clear on class, the trainer just needs to enter the dog.
DANGER: Best structural position (dominant trap + strong suitability) of any non-T1 runner. Two wins from three starts at D3 270m confirms competitiveness. The only realistic threat to Antigua Lumiere if the class dog encounters trouble — but needs T1 to misfire to win.
Place contender. Reliable pace profile and decent trap draw give her an each-way chance, but the 22-point performance gap to T1 makes a win extremely unlikely. Best hope is picking up 2nd or 3rd.
Can be confidently opposed. Closer from the dead trap at sprint distance — the combination of pace profile and draw structural disadvantage makes winning here a very long shot.
Place possibility from a dominant trap with excellent trap suitability, but P25 average in a field where T1 runs at P58+ makes a win scenario extremely unlikely. The structural advantage gives him the best shot at 2nd-3rd behind Antigua Lumiere.
Fringe player. Strong trainer and class drop are positives, but P31 average and no pace data leave this dog behind the structural (T5 Moanteen Molly) and class (T1 Antigua Lumiere) picks. Might pick up 3rd-4th.
762 runs. R1 vs R3 gap is 3.93pp — LOW SEPARATION at D3 grade, but the class override here (P58 vs field avg ~29) makes the model's usual low-grade caveats irrelevant. Speed R1 wins 23.62% — fastest dog has a significant edge at this sprint distance.
T1:17.12% T2:20.29% T3:12.32% T4:20.47% T5:20.54% T6:19.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.