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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Veind 1y 4 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 25 (4) | 29 (2) | 20 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 51 | 15 | 51 | 25 | 34 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Scarsdale Sueb 2y 5 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 23 (5) | 27 (3) | 56 (4) | 38 (6) | 57 (4) | 54 (3) | 81 (1) | 55 (4) | 46 (6) | 51 (5) | 54 | 38 | - | 18 | 54 | 48 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Headford Sharkd 3y 16 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 17 (5) | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 32 (1) | 30 (3) | 31 (6) | 18 (1) | 26 (5) | 26 (3) | - | 24 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Slim Shadyd 3y 6 | N P Ralph Jnr — 18% R50 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 15 (6) | 23 (5) | 30 (3) | 24 (5) | 19 (6) | 19 (6) | 20 (6) | 32 (2) | 22 (5) | 28 (4) | 33 | 30 | 16 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 3 | 11/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Breakaway Graceb 2y 16 | R Williams — 15% R321 W47 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 11 (6) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 35 (1) | 23 (6) | 22 (6) | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 19 (5) | 32 (1) | 35 | 34 | - | 34 | 26 | 29 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Berniethebaliffb 4y 27 | N M Slowley — 16% R99 W16 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 13 (6) | 15 (5) | 18 (4) | 17 (6) | 18 (6) | 30 (1) | 21 (5) | 22 (6) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 31 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 5 | 12/1 | |
Swift Vein has the field's second-best suitability profile: track 51, distance 51, trap 48, class 15 — deep Dunstall Park sprint experience. P25 average is low but competitive for D3 level, and recent form shows a steady trajectory: P29→P20→P21→P14→P23→P22. That P29 last-time-out was a 2nd place at D3 270m — showing current competitiveness. Speed 52 is joint-best in the field with Breakaway Grace. T1 at 17.12% from 111 runs is neutral — not dominant, not dead. No pace data is available. Trainer Harrison at 12% is below average. The case for Swift Vein rests on the convergence of: joint-best speed, strong suitability, recent competitive form (2nd last time), and a neutral structural position. In a LOW SEPARATION race where no dog has a clear performance edge (excluding Scarsdale Sue's collapsing form), speed and venue knowledge carry the argument.
DANGER: P54 average is 27 points above field — the biggest class gap of any danger dog today. Near-dominant trap position (T2, 20.29%) and best trap suitability (54). But P16→P17 form collapse and Closer profile at sprint distance prevent pick status. If the form returns, she wins easily.
Dead trap + lowest speed + poor suitability + below-average form = clear oppose. The consistent 3rd-place finishes show reliability but no winning ability.
Best speed (59) from a co-dominant trap (20.47%) — a strong structural convergence. P28 average is modest but competitive. Close to pick status — the choice between Swift Vein's suitability advantage and Slim Shady's speed/trap alignment is marginal. A genuine place contender.
Dominant trap + early pace at sprint distance is a viable combination, but the step up from D4 and P26 average suggest she'll lead early then be caught by the more experienced D3 runners. Place contender.
Neutral trap position is the only positive. Declining form (P21→P22→P27→P30 trend), below-average speed, and modest suitability all point away. A back-of-field finish is likely.
762 runs. LOW SEPARATION: R1 20.71% vs R3 16.78% — 3.93pp gap. Three traps are near-dominant (T2, T4, T5 all at 20%+). T3 is clearly dead at 12.32%. Speed R1 wins 23.62% — the strongest model signal.
T1:17.12% T2:20.29% T3:12.32% T4:20.47% T5:20.54% T6:19.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.