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THE FUTURE OF RACING: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tantalising Joyb 2y 5 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 45 | 37 (6) | 24 (5) | 45 (5) | 64 (2) | 56 (3) | 72 (1) | 61 (2) | 59 (2) | 44 (6) | 48 (5) | 39 | 42 | 31 | 39 | 51 | 47 | 3 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Firecrackerheidid 4y 24 | N P Ralph Jnr — 18% R50 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 54 | 41 (5) | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 16 (5) | 41 (3) | 38 (5) | 32 (6) | 53 (3) | 36 (5) | 48 (4) | 32 | 18 | - | 27 | 46 | 39 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tantalising Jimd 2y 6 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 43 | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 40 (4) | 46 (4) | 51 (2) | 37 (6) | 43 (5) | 42 (5) | 63 (1) | 45 (4) | 42 | 21 | 34 | 29 | 43 | 39 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Tinnaban Taylorb 2y 13 | R Short — 18% R132 W24 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 55 | 62 (1) | 57 (1) | 45 (2) | 34 (5) | 25 (6) | 56 (1) | 32 (4) | - | - | - | 3 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 4 | 6 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Saka Crackerb 3y 16 | R Short — 18% R132 W24 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 42 (2) | 26 (6) | 40 (4) | 44 (3) | 38 (4) | 45 (2) | 32 (6) | 47 (3) | 42 (4) | 59 (1) | 35 | 15 | 33 | 15 | 43 | 36 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Amys Starb 3y 23 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 64 | 32 (3) | 25 (6) | 32 (3) | 39 (1) | 37 (1) | 27 (5) | 30 (2) | 55 (1) | 36 (4) | 43 (4) | 34 | 33 | 17 | 34 | 41 | 38 | 4 | 7/1 | |
Firecrackerheidi brings the field's second-best speed (61) with an All-Rounder profile (EP53/CS35) that gives her tactical flexibility. Drawn in T2 at 20% from 50 runs — a structurally sound position. Form has been mixed: P53→P36→P48→P54→P12→P23 — the most recent P53 at A7 (3rd place) is encouraging and shows she's competitive at this grade. The All-Rounder pace means she can sit mid-pack through the early stages and pick off the fading leaders without needing to close from last. Bend 54 is solid — she handles the bends cleanly. Suitability is low: track 18, distance 27, trap 32 — suggesting she's relatively new to Dunstall Park or hasn't raced from T2 often. This is a concern. Trainer Ralph at 17% is modest. The case rests on speed (61, second-best), a pace profile that avoids the Fader trap, and a recent competitive run at A7. The suitability gap compared to more experienced Dunstall Park dogs is the main risk.
DANGER: The 35.42% T3 trap bias from 48 runs is too strong to ignore — it's the most powerful structural signal on the entire Dunstall Park card today. The dog's form (P43, middling) doesn't inspire confidence, but the structure says T3 wins here 1 in 3 times regardless of who's drawn there. Cannot be dismissed.
Field-best speed (63) and Closer profile are the right combination for this race shape, but form has been pedestrian (P44 last) and there's no convincing improvement trajectory. Competitive for a place but not a confident pick.
Effective debut runner with only trial form. Too little data to assess competitiveness. Strong trainer suggests the placement is deliberate, but suitability of near-zero and a weak trap make a winning debut very unlikely.
Capable of winning at A7 (proved last time second) but too inconsistent and lacking venue experience for confident selection. One of several contenders for the minor places.
Best bend rating (64) and recent promotion from A8, but the dead T6 draw (12.77%) and full Fader profile at 480m create a severe structural mismatch. Likely leads early and weakens. One to oppose.
323 runs. T3 at 35.42% from 48 runs is an extraordinary outlier — more than double expected. Even accounting for sample size, this is a powerful structural signal. Composite R1 wins 25.56% — ratings do separate at A7. Speed R1 wins 28.4% from 81 runs — fastest dog has a significant edge.
T1:19.4% T2:20% T3:35.42% T4:13.21% T5:18.97% T6:12.77%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tantalising Joy | 47 | 88 | Closer |
2Firecrackerheidi | 53 | 35 | All-Rounder |
3Tantalising Jim | 39 | 100 | Closer |
4Tinnaban Taylor | 56 | 0 | Fader |
5Saka Cracker | 45 | 65 | Closer |
6Amys Star | 59 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.