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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tan And Lashesb 3y 16 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 55 | 54 (3) | 69 (3) | 21 (6) | 74 (1) | 64 (3) | 29 (3) | 58 (3) | 77 (1) | 28 (3) | 49 (5) | 23 | 40 | 44 | 38 | 53 | 46 | 6 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Babbaloolab 2y 8 | P A Holder — 12% R142 W17 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 46 | 34 (5) | 54 (3) | 54 (3) | 36 (6) | 57 (3) | 44 (5) | 38 (5) | 51 (3) | 36 (6) | 30 (5) | 56 | 57 | - | 48 | 43 | 47 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Elsies Champd 2y 16 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 36 (2) | 37 (4) | 41 (3) | 38 (1) | 33 (2) | 40 (5) | 61 (2) | 76 (1) | 56 (3) | 43 (5) | 40 | 44 | 23 | 34 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ De Girl Sootieb 3y 7 | S A Aveline — 10% R67 W7 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 57 | 58 (3) | 59 (2) | 42 (6) | 58 (3) | 39 (3) | 32 (6) | 60 (6) | 71 (2) | 46 (1) | - | 36 | 20 | 25 | 33 | 56 | 47 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Devilgate Joed 4y 17 | R Lambe — 21% R126 W26 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 49 (4) | 57 (3) | 58 (3) | 54 (4) | 58 (5) | 61 (2) | 71 (3) | 71 (1) | 43 (1) | - | 35 | 25 | 14 | 32 | 56 | 47 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Distant Graceb 2y 17 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 47 (5) | 56 (3) | 49 (5) | 76 (6) | 57 (1) | 39 (4) | 64 (6) | 72 (2) | 67 (1) | - | 32 | 49 | 18 | 39 | 56 | 50 | 3 | 7/4F | |
Devilgate Joe brings a Closer profile (EP51/CS62) with joint-best average performance (P56) and excellent pace consistency (79 — best in the field). The form is the key story: P71→P43→P17→P24→P50→P57 — the most recent P71 was a 1st place at A5, showing genuine ability when promoted from a lower grade. The drop back to A4 should suit. T5 at 18.89% from 90 runs is a neutral-to-positive position — no structural headwind. Speed 52 is decent, bend 51 adequate. Suitability is modest: track 25, distance 32, trap 35, class 14, suggesting he's not a Dunstall Park specialist. Trainer Lambe at 16% is below average. The case for Devilgate Joe is the convergence of competitive performance (P56, joint-best), momentum from an A5 win last time (P71), the best pace consistency in the field (79), and a Closer profile that exploits the Faders from a neutral trap position. In a LOW SEPARATION race where composite rankings are meaningless, form momentum and consistent pacing carry the argument over raw structural positioning.
DANGER: Second-best trap position (21.05%), joint-best performance (P59), recent A3 winning form, and a Closer profile that exploits the Faders. The main reservation is the below-average trainer (12%) and modest suitability scores. Very close to pick status.
Competitive form (P69, P74 peaks) but drawn in the dead T1 (13.89% from 108 runs). In a low-separation race, this structural headwind is decisive. Would need to be clearly the best dog in the field to overcome — and at P53 she isn't.
Dead draw (12.77%) + form collapse (P36→P30→P25 recent) = confident oppose. Historical suitability suggests past ability but the dog is trending sharply in the wrong direction.
Best structural position (T4, 23.23%) but full Fader profile at 480m limits the ability to convert that advantage. Will lead early and set up the race for the closers. A place contender rather than a winner given the CS0 liability.
Excellent recent form (P64, P72) and strong consistency, but the below-average T6 draw (14.71%) in a low-separation race means the structural cards aren't in her favour. Close to danger status but the trap position caps confidence.
554 runs. VERY LOW SEPARATION — R1 17.31% vs R3 17.7% is essentially zero difference. Composite rankings are meaningless at A4. Trap bias is the dominant signal: T4 (23.23%) and T3 (21.05%) are clearly favoured. Speed R1 wins 21.05% — above average but not dramatically so.
T1:13.89% T2:12.77% T3:21.05% T4:23.23% T5:18.89% T6:14.71%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tan And Lashes | 55 | 39 | Fader |
2Babbaloola | 47 | 42 | All-Rounder |
3Elsies Champ | 48 | 72 | Closer |
4De Girl Sootie | 60 | 0 | Fader |
5Devilgate Joe | 51 | 62 | Closer |
6Distant Grace | 49 | 58 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.