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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lucky Lucianod 3y 5 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 33 (1) | 26 (4) | 20 (5) | 30 (2) | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 32 (3) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 33 (1) | 30 | 36 | 34 | 42 | 32 | 33 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Cassieb 6y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 28 (1) | 23 (2) | 14 (6) | 14 (5) | 17 (4) | 17 (6) | 19 (5) | 20 (4) | 31 (1) | 28 (1) | 19 | 29 | 18 | 30 | 20 | 22 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rapido Firminod 4y 33 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 19 (6) | 25 (5) | 24 (4) | 30 (3) | 100 (1) | 21 (3) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 20 (5) | 34 (1) | 9 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Poker Acesb 3y 18 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 20 (4) | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 28 (2) | 20 (6) | 19 (5) | - | 14 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Only The Futureb 3y 8 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 20 (6) | 31 (2) | 37 (6) | 43 (4) | 55 (3) | 22 (5) | 18 (5) | 23 (5) | 27 (2) | 38 (1) | 44 | 49 | 37 | 44 | 34 | 39 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Taxi Joed 4y 15 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 29 (3) | 28 (3) | 26 (3) | 23 (2) | 27 (2) | 32 (2) | 33 (1) | 34 (1) | 24 (4) | 33 (1) | 34 | 28 | 28 | 32 | 26 | 29 | 3 | 10/3 | |
The DOMINANT T5 (24.3% from 272 runs — 46% above expected) combined with the field's best suitability (mean 44 — Tk49, Dst44, Trp44, Cls37). That's the structural convergence: the best trap position + the best individual track/distance/trap confirmation. AvgP 34 is the highest in the field. Speed 51 is moderate but adequate. No pace data which is a gap at 260m, but with the dominant trap and suitability alignment, the accumulated evidence of her Valley results speaks louder. Form P25→P65→P37→P22→P24→P19 includes a P65 spike that shows genuine class, and the P25 for 4th at D3 last time confirms she's competitive at a grade above. Dropping to D4 should help. Trainer Jeffery at 20% is solid. Two trial runs in the last 6 require caution, but the genuine form (P25 at D3, P37 at D4) is competitive.
DANGER: Field's best speed (56) at a distance where SR1 wins 25.7%, but T1 is the weakest structural position (14.8%/345r). The speed is a genuine weapon — if he breaks well he can overcome the draw — but you're betting against 345 data points.
DANGER: Second-best speed (54) with confirmed All-Rounder pace (EP 52) and best trainer (26%). Viable at 260m but neutral trap and middling suitability keep him behind the structural convergence of the pick.
Cannot be supported. Speed 37 is 19 behind the leader in a 260m sprint. AvgP 20 is the field's worst. No pace data, no suitability edge, no structural advantage.
Middling speed (52) but poor form (P20, P16 recently), weak suitability (23), and no pace data. An outsider who would need chaos to win.
Closer eliminated at 260m Valley. EP 48 (lowest in field) means he's behind from the break. No path to victory on this tight sprint circuit.
T5 is the sole DOMINANT trap at 24.3% from 272 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 25.7%. In a field with sparse pace data, the structural trap advantage and suitability become primary.
T1:14.8%/345r T2:19.4%/309r T3:16.9%/267r T4:18.3%/262r T5:24.3%/272r DOMINANT T6:18.9%/243r
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.