Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gypsy Womanb 3y 24 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 12 (6) | 17 (5) | 19 (4) | 29 (4) | 32 (1) | 27 (4) | 29 (3) | 29 (2) | 33 (2) | 25 (5) | 38 | 30 | 26 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Susies Returnb 4y 26 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 38 (1) | 26 (4) | 26 (4) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 25 (1) | 27 (3) | 21 (6) | 30 (3) | 32 (1) | 32 | 34 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 30 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Oi Weaseld 4y 25 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 60 | 23 (4) | 18 (6) | 35 (5) | 40 (6) | 25 (5) | 24 (4) | 33 (1) | 22 (6) | 57 (3) | 22 (4) | 22 | 34 | 39 | 41 | 32 | 31 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ No Dont Panicd 3y 14 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 33 (6) | 28 (3) | 32 (3) | 43 (4) | 38 (1) | 92 (1) | 38 (2) | 33 (3) | 39 (2) | - | 57 | 55 | 56 | 56 | 32 | 43 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 5 | ▶ Race For Spudb 3y 25 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 40 | 30 (3) | 24 (4) | 24 (5) | 30 (2) | 31 (2) | 32 (6) | 29 (2) | 24 (1) | - | - | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 | 30 | 29 | 3 | 10/3 | |
The field's outstanding suitability profile — mean 56 with every dimension above 55 (Tk55, Dst56, Trp57, Cls56). This is a dog that has repeatedly proven she can win at Valley, at 260m, from T4, at D3 grade. That's rare — most dogs have a weak link somewhere. Form backs it up: P37→P34→P24(trial)→P21→P24(trial)→P31 — the P37 was a D3 win last time, confirming she's competitive at this level right now. AvgP 32 ties for best in the field. Speed 51 is middling (not a concern given the suitability confirmation) and there's no pace data, which is a gap at 260m. T4 is neutral-to-weak at 15.7%/261 runs. Trainer Jeffery at 20%. The case here is that suitability this high (56) tells you more than one race's pace data — it's the accumulated evidence of hundreds of metres run at this venue, this distance, this trap, this grade. When all four suit scores are 55+, the dog knows how to win here. Two trial runs in the last 6 mean some caution but the genuine runs (P37 win, P34) are solid.
DANGER: The field's best early pace (EP 61, Bend 60) + Front Runner profile + best speed (54) = the pace threat. Won last time at D4 (promotion merited). But inconsistent form and neutral trap keep her behind the suitability/form convergence of the pick.
DANGER: Consistent All-Rounder (PC 90) who was 2nd last time. Track and distance suitability both 51 confirm Valley 260m comfort. But trap suit 5 is a major red flag and EP 40 is low for a sprint. Best placed to pick up the pieces.
No case. Neutral trap, no pace data, middling speed and form in a field where two dogs have clear edges. Would need a lot to go right.
DOMINANT trap (22.1%/280r) wasted on the field's slowest dog. No pace data, speed 47, flat form. The box is gold but the dog isn't.
Strong composite separation (R1 28.5%) means the top-rated dog wins nearly a third of the time. T6 being vacant removes the best structural position. Speed rank 1 wins 29.0% — speed is king at 260m D3.
T1:16.2%/278r T2:22.1%/280r DOMINANT T3:19.4%/268r T4:15.7%/261r T5:18.0%/250r T6:23.9%/222r DOMINANT (VACANT)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.