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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Bluebellb 4y 33 | S A Howard — 16% R44 W7 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 23 (5) | 33 (6) | 76 (2) | 43 (4) | 76 (1) | 32 (3) | 62 (3) | 42 (6) | 28 (1) | - | 71 | 79 | 70 | 69 | 57 | 64 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Da Scallywagd 3y 17 | D S Davy — 22% R408 W90 P256 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 78 (1) | 70 (2) | 46 (4) | 43 (6) | 56 (4) | 26 (5) | 26 (1) | 40 (5) | 50 (5) | 100 (1) | 47 | 74 | 15 | 60 | 70 | 64 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ashway Blastoffd 3y 25 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 32 (3) | 54 (6) | 68 (3) | 77 (2) | 81 (1) | 53 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (5) | 43 (2) | 40 (1) | 51 | 81 | - | 71 | 58 | 61 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Gwyn Lukad 2y 17 | J L Morris — 33% R27 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 29 (3) | 44 (1) | 35 (1) | 24 (5) | 39 (2) | 28 (4) | 31 (5) | 51 (6) | 77 (3) | 80 (2) | 34 | 51 | 46 | 59 | 37 | 40 | 4 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Fastlane Georged 2yN/R 110 | D S Davy — 22% R408 W90 P256 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 100 | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 90 (1) | 84 (1) | 60 (5) | 23 (1) | 77 (2) | 100 (1) | 44 (1) | 36 (2) | 69 | 70 | - | 70 | 69 | 69 | - | - | |
Normally a Closer at 260m Valley would be automatically eliminated — but Crokers Bluebell is the exception that proves the rule. Her suitability profile is extraordinary: mean 72 with Tk79, Dst69, Trp71, Cls70. Every dimension is 69+. This tells you that across hundreds of Valley metres, at this distance, from T1, at D2 grade, she has consistently placed and won. That's not one race of pace data — it's the accumulated evidence of a dog who knows exactly how to win here. AvgP 57 is competitive at D2. Form P62→P42→P28→P93→P81→P77 includes a P93 peak and three 62+ runs in the last five — this is a dog who operates at the top of D2 when conditions suit. Trainer Howard at 31% is strong tier. T1 DOMINANT at 20.0%/155 runs adds structural support. The Closer profile (CS 64) would usually be fatal at 260m, but her EP 50 means she's not slow out — she runs a measured race rather than trying to close from last. The suitability tells you she's done this before, repeatedly, successfully. When a dog has suit mean 72 at specific conditions, trust the data.
DANGER: AvgP 70 and P100 ceiling = the best dog in this race when she's on form. Class override applies (12+ above field avg). But Closer at 260m + erratic form (P100→P34→P73→P24) = you don't know which version shows up. She could win by lengths or finish mid-pack.
DANGER: Best track suit (81) + best distance suit (71) + balanced All-Rounder pace (EP 50) make him structurally suited. But the steep form decline (P100→P83→P55→P38→P40→P43) suggests this dog is going the wrong way. Watch for a bounce but don't rely on it.
40% trainer and best speed (52) are eye-catching but AvgP 37 is 33 behind the field leader in a D2 race. The DEAD T5 (14.0%/178r) adds structural headwind. This is a D4 winner trying to compete two grades above — the data doesn't support it.
Structurally perfect position (T6 DOMINANT + EP 100 + Bend 100) but CRITICAL trial warning renders all form unreliable. Recent genuine form (P21, P21) is nowhere near D2 standard. The box will win races — but this dog's real form doesn't back it.
T6 dominant at 26.0% but occupied by a trial-flagged runner. T1 the next-best structural position at 20.0%/155r. Strong composite separation (R1 26.5%). Speed rank 1 wins 27.5%. D2 is a higher-class sprint where form reliability matters more.
T1:20.0%/155r DOMINANT T2:16.9%/195r T3:17.9%/212r (VACANT) T4:19.2%/187r T5:14.0%/178r DEAD T6:26.0%/173r DOMINANT
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.