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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Quare Surpriseb 5y 34 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 49 | 59 (2) | 57 (3) | 59 (4) | 67 (3) | 56 (5) | 22 (1) | 75 (1) | 53 (3) | 54 (4) | 22 (4) | 28 | 33 | 12 | 32 | 49 | 41 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Cocob 4y 16 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 22 (4) | 65 (3) | 54 (5) | 63 (3) | 66 (2) | 44 (6) | 53 (4) | 50 (4) | 29 (5) | 55 (4) | 44 | 41 | 40 | 33 | 49 | 45 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Affleck Henbitd 2y 27 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 51 | 44 (5) | 64 (4) | 67 (2) | 58 (4) | 78 (2) | 54 (5) | 66 (2) | 67 (2) | 77 (1) | 38 (6) | 25 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 50 | 39 | 5 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Mallogs Royd 3y 16 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 44 | 72 (1) | 74 (1) | 56 (3) | 89 (2) | 20 (2) | 70 (2) | 57 (4) | 58 (3) | 69 (2) | 52 (5) | 29 | 36 | - | 21 | 57 | 45 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Choctawhatated 4y 27 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 54 | 64 (3) | 58 (3) | 40 (6) | 81 (1) | 76 (1) | 16 (3) | 80 (1) | 53 (3) | 59 (3) | 56 (3) | 42 | 40 | 60 | 50 | 49 | 46 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mendip Sallyb 3yN/R 23 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 45 | 62 (2) | 55 (3) | 61 (3) | 60 (3) | 60 (2) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 42 (5) | 52 (2) | 75 (1) | 32 | 47 | 23 | 46 | 60 | 51 | - | - | |
The field's standout runner on every pace metric: Front Runner (EP 59, CS 54, Bend 54, PC 92) with the best speed in the race by a clear margin (68 vs next best 64). On Valley's tight 460m circuit where front runners are heavily favoured, this is the ideal pace profile — she breaks fast, leads through the tight bends where her Bend 54 protects her position, and her consistency (PC 92 — the field's best) means she reproduces this shape reliably. AvgP 49 is competitive. Form P24→P25→P24→P24→P76→P65 is interesting — the P76 and P65 show genuine class when conditions suit, but the recent P24→P25→P24→P24 sequence is at D5 260m — a completely different race type. The switch to A4 460m is more likely to suit her Front Runner profile. Suitability mean 48 is the field's best (Dst 50, Cls 60 — both strong). Trainer Davy at 24%. T5 at 16.7%/150r is neutral — no structural advantage from the trap — but the Front Runner pace profile IS the structural advantage at Valley 460m.
DANGER: Second-best speed (64) and joint-best AvgP (49) with an adequate All-Rounder profile for Valley 460m. But erratic form (P54→P22→P14→P23) and weak class suitability (12) make him inconsistent. Dangerous on his day but you don't know which day it is.
DANGER: DOMINANT T6 (25.9%/166r) + best AvgP (60, class override) + P70 form peak mean she'll be there at the finish. The Closer profile on Valley's tight bends is the limitation, but the structural trap advantage and class gap keep her in the conversation. If the pace setters weaken, she picks up the pieces from the ideal trap.
Solid A4 form (P66 for 2nd last time) and balanced profile but nothing that stands out structurally. The All-Rounder profile is viable but doesn't dominate on Valley's tight circuit. A place contender.
DEAD trap (13.3%/196r) + worst speed (34, 34 behind leader) = structurally eliminated. AvgP 50 suggests some ability but speed 34 at 460m means he can't keep up on the clock.
Best AvgP (57) and consistent form but Closer from the DEAD T4 on Valley's tight 460m is a structural impossibility. Class override doesn't apply when the track physically prevents closing. Can be opposed.
T6 dominant at 25.9% from 166 runs but occupied by a Closer. T3 and T4 both dead. Front Runners win at premium on Valley's tight 460m. Speed rank 1 wins 22.5%. The structural winner (T6) has a pace mismatch — creating an opportunity for the pace dog (T5).
T1:19.4%/170r T2:17.4%/184r T3:13.3%/196r DEAD T4:13.2%/159r DEAD T5:16.7%/150r T6:25.9%/166r DOMINANT
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Quare Surprise | 48 | 46 | All-Rounder |
2Hawkfield Coco | 52 | 37 | All-Rounder |
3Affleck Henbit | 54 | 13 | All-Rounder |
4Mallogs Roy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Choctawhatate | 59 | 54 | Front Runner |
6Mendip Sally | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.