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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Insane Viewd 4y 24 | G Andreas — 18% R283 W52 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 33 (4) | 38 (2) | 41 (2) | 42 (1) | 37 (3) | 36 (4) | 39 (2) | 37 (3) | 39 (3) | 32 (4) | 39 | 36 | 21 | 35 | 32 | 34 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Nice Enoughb 4y 27 | L E Morrison — 22% R193 W43 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | - | 47 (1) | 34 (3) | 29 (5) | 42 (2) | 45 (1) | 46 (1) | 37 (3) | 42 (1) | 36 (3) | 35 (2) | 35 | 49 | 38 | 48 | 38 | 40 | 3 | 6/5F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Good Top Boyd 3y 16 | B D O'sullivan — 17% R534 W92 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 100 | 36 (6) | 36 (2) | 29 (3) | 40 (5) | 27 (1) | 58 (5) | 73 (4) | 34 (2) | 24 (3) | - | 54 | 41 | - | 48 | 40 | 44 | 1 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Murdaniel Find 1y 14 | S Mavrias — 18% R242 W43 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 34 (5) | 83 (2) | 29 (5) | 47 (1) | 35 (4) | 34 (4) | 40 (2) | 37 (4) | - | - | 12 | 50 | - | 50 | - | 14 | 6 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Devon Dollyb 4y 24 | B D O'sullivan — 17% R534 W92 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | - | 46 (1) | 42 (2) | 27 (6) | 35 (4) | 30 (5) | 40 (3) | 46 (1) | 37 (2) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 37 | 43 | 40 | 43 | 40 | 40 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Jewelofthenileb 2y 6 | L B Pearce — 14% R160 W22 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 0 | 31 (5) | 46 (1) | 30 (5) | 46 (1) | 36 (3) | 35 (3) | 42 (1) | 39 (3) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 44 | 43 | - | 43 | 37 | 40 | 4 | 3/1 | ||
Good Top Boy has the ideal combination for a 277m sprint at Central Park — extreme EP (100) and extreme bend (100) from the DOMINANT T3 position at 21.6% from 250 runs. At sprint distance, early pace and bend ability are the two most predictive factors, and he maxes out on both. His avgP of 40 is joint-best in the field, and he recently won at D2 (P40) showing competitive form. The Fader profile (EP 100, CS 0) means he'll weaken in the closing stages, but at 277m the trip ends before any meaningful fade develops. Trap suit 54 provides individual confirmation of the DOMINANT structural position — he's personally thrived from T3. Trainer O'sullivan at 22% is moderate, with O'sullivan running at 26.9% from 93 runs at D1 277m Central Park — a positive venue-trainer signal. Form of 58→73→22→34→24 shows some inconsistency, with the 22 and 24 being concerning, but the 58 and 73 show his ceiling is well above this field.
DANGER: Field-best speed (57) and proven D1 winner with strong suitability (41). If she breaks as fast as her speed suggests, she's the main threat to the pick. The lack of EP/bend data and declining form trajectory (47→36) introduce uncertainty, but raw pace from an experienced D1 winner can never be discounted.
Flat form stuck at P29-34 level with below-average speed. Neutral trap and no standout metrics. Will fill a place without threatening the principals.
Best suitability (42) and good speed (56) but fatally compromised by the DEAD T2 trap at 9.7%. AvgP 38 is only 2 points above the joint field leaders — nowhere near the class gap needed to overcome a trap that wins once in ten races. Can be opposed despite the strong venue profile.
DOMINANT T4 draw and decent venue suitability, but zero competitive form makes assessment impossible. The trial-only profile could go either way. Interesting for the future but too risky to pick today.
DOMINANT T6 trap is wasted on a Closer at 277m sprint — the distance is too short for closing to work. Declining form (41→20→14→23→17) and below-average speed make the structural advantage irrelevant. The trap helps but the dog can't capitalise.
1,631 runs. Same conditions as R1 — three DOMINANT traps (T3/T4/T6) and T2 catastrophically DEAD at 9.7%. Speed rank 1 wins 23.8%. Good Top Boy's EP 100 + bend 100 from T3 represents the ideal early-pace-in-dominant-trap combination for a sprint.
T1:14.6% T2:9.7% T3:21.6% T4:22.0% T5:15.2% T6:23.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.