| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Belles Crownb 5y 35 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (5) | 26 (3) | 22 (5) | 30 (2) | 31 (3) | 27 (5) | 28 (5) | 29 (4) | 23 (6) | 36 (1) | 35 | 27 | 23 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Smooth As Satinb 4y 24 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 22 (6) | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 28 (3) | 20 (6) | 27 (4) | 26 (5) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 20 (4) | 40 | 36 | 28 | 37 | 26 | 31 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kratosd 5y 35 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 13 (6) | 24 (4) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 22 (5) | 25 (4) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 23 (5) | 35 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Chrissys Legacyb 3y 5 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 20 (6) | 20 (5) | 26 (4) | 32 (2) | 24 (5) | 32 (1) | 26 (2) | 18 (6) | 26 (5) | 32 (1) | 47 | 36 | 27 | 36 | 27 | 34 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Signet Cooperd 1y 14 | L E Morrison — 23% R198 W45 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 25 (6) | 36 (1) | 25 (4) | 24 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 65 | - | 61 | 24 | 32 | 3 | 15/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Jaguar Enableb 4y 24 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 75 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (2) | 43 (5) | 37 (6) | 42 (5) | 36 (6) | 59 (3) | 81 (1) | 62 (2) | 40 | 32 | 25 | 48 | 67 | 54 | 1 | 5/1 | |
Jaguar Enable represents the most extreme class override on the entire Central Park card — and arguably one of the most extreme seen all season. His avgP of 67 sits 39 points above the field average of 28 — nearly 7 times the 6-point threshold needed for a class override. He's been competing and winning at A2 491m (P82, 1st) and placing at HP 491m (P59, 3rd; P63, 2nd) — and drops into D3 277m, which is equivalent to a top-grade dog running against beginners. His most recent run was a T1 trial win at 277m (P23) — the low trial perf is irrelevant as it simply represents sharpening for this drop in grade. The Fader profile (EP 100, CS 0) is ideal for 277m sprint — maximum pace from the boxes, and at this distance the fade simply cannot develop. Speed of 42 looks low on paper but it's computed from his 491m runs; his 277m speed will be determined today. From T6 at 17.2% the structural position is neutral in this flat-bias race — but when you're 39 points above the field, structural data is completely irrelevant. His distance suit 48 is decent and his form trajectory of 70→78→63→48→66 at 491m confirms sustained high-class ability.
DANGER: Best structural position (T4 17.9%) + best trap suit (47) + competitive speed (54) + recent placing form = the strongest all-round package among the D3-level runners. She's competing for 2nd, not 1st — but she's the most likely runner to be there.
Regular D3 runner who mixes 2nd-3rd finishes with 5ths. AvgP 28 is 39 points below the class leader — even placing depends on the scramble for 2nd. No winning chance.
Borderline-dead T2 position and below-average form. Inconsistent D3 runner who drops out as often as he places. No route to challenging the class leader from the worst draw.
Best speed among the D3-level runners (53) and consistent placing form. The most likely runner-up but 39 points below the class leader means 2nd is his realistic ceiling.
Best track/distance suitability in the field (65/61) but lowest avgP (24) and below-average trap position. The venue knowledge doesn't compensate for the performance deficit. Will struggle to place against more able D3 dogs.
1,757 runs. LOW SEPARATION — R1 19.2% vs R3 16.0% = 3.2pp gap. Same conditions as R7. Very flat trap bias renders structural analysis secondary. The class override from Jaguar Enable (avgP 67 vs field avg 28) is the most extreme of any race today — 39 points above average, nearly 7x the 6-point override threshold.
T1:17.8% T2:14.2% T3:17.2% T4:17.9% T5:15.9% T6:17.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.