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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Mableb 5y 25 | R W Butler — 17% R224 W38 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 48 | 36 (6) | 63 (5) | 48 (2) | 38 (3) | 41 (6) | 50 (3) | 49 (4) | 46 (3) | 49 (5) | - | 31 | 30 | 28 | 27 | 50 | 41 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Promiseb 4y 23 | G Andreas — 16% R284 W46 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 31 (2) | 28 (3) | 31 (3) | 27 (4) | 31 (4) | 65 (2) | 39 (6) | 68 (2) | 75 (1) | 43 (5) | 44 | 37 | 53 | 34 | 61 | 52 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Beach Tripd 3y 35 | T M Levers — 17% R114 W19 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 52 (4) | 58 (5) | 56 (1) | 63 (4) | 80 (4) | 65 (1) | 50 (2) | 40 (5) | 75 (6) | - | 20 | 34 | 21 | 29 | 60 | 45 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shadow Warriord 3y 24 | L B Pearce — 16% R159 W25 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 49 | 66 (4) | 54 (2) | 62 (3) | 49 (2) | 60 (5) | 56 (2) | 56 (4) | 51 (3) | 71 (4) | - | 32 | 34 | 32 | 28 | 56 | 45 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Coppice Geminib 2y 37 | L E Morrison — 21% R193 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 49 | 71 (2) | 85 (3) | 83 (2) | 72 (2) | 79 (1) | 63 (4) | 75 (1) | 46 (5) | 60 (2) | 55 (3) | 25 | 45 | 29 | 37 | 59 | 47 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Snodland Flyerd 4y 14 | M Mavrias — 17% R317 W53 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 68 | 49 (5) | 61 (2) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 60 (3) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 53 (4) | 44 | 35 | 36 | 34 | 59 | 50 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
Droopys Promise has the best avgP in the field at 61 and just produced an impressive sequence — won A4 (P76) then placed 2nd in HP (P69). His form trajectory of 54→74→67→45→80 shows the latest perf of 80 is his career best, indicating a dog hitting peak form right now. The Fader profile (EP 58, CS 15) would normally be concerning at 491m, but Central Park's track profile is key here — 44% of winners lead all the way at this distance, making Faders with good early pace highly competitive. His bend rating of 53 is solid and from the DOMINANT T2 draw (21.7% from 120 runs), he has a short path to the rail through the decisive first bend. Suit mean 42 with trap suit 44 aligns well with the structural advantage. The class evidence from A3 recent runs (5th, 6th, 5th) suggests A4 is his natural level where he can dominate.
DANGER: Field-best bend rating (68) from the DOMINANT T6 trap (23.5%) makes him the structural favourite. The CS 0 at 491m is the key risk — he'll lead but may weaken. If the Closers are too far back at the first bend, he holds on.
Honest but limited. Consistent A4 runner who places without threatening. The dominant T1 trap helps but her form ceiling (avgP 50, speed 42) caps her at minor placing.
Talented Closer disadvantaged by venue dynamics. Has the speed (54, best in field) and ability (avgP 60) but Central Park's tight first bend makes the Closer profile a significant liability. Needs everything to break right.
Sharply declining form (P23 last) and field-worst speed (30) make this a clear opposition. The Closer profile from a neutral trap offers no structural rescue on Central Park's tight 491m trip.
Best raw speed (58) but wrong profile for this venue. Extreme Closer from T5 will be too far back at the first bend, and Central Park's track dynamics don't reward late closers the way galloping tracks do.
801 runs. Three DOMINANT traps — T1, T2, T6 all above 20%. T6 leads at 23.5%. Composite R1 wins 24.0% from 338 runs — NORMAL separation, top-rated dog has a meaningful edge. T M Levers 38.5% from 13 runs is the best trainer signal. Speed rank 1 wins 23.8%.
T1:20.9% T2:21.7% T3:15.8% T4:17.5% T5:19.8% T6:23.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollyoak Mable | 50 | 42 | All-Rounder |
2Droopys Promise | 58 | 15 | Fader |
3Beach Trip | 48 | 84 | Closer |
4Shadow Warrior | 50 | 58 | Closer |
5Coppice Gemini | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Snodland Flyer | 62 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Mable | — | 0.620 | — |
| 2 | Droopys Promise | 0.613 | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Beach Trip | — | 0.611 | — |
| 4 | Shadow Warrior | — | 0.617 | — |
| 5 | Coppice Gemini | — | 0.607 | 0.619 |
| 6 | Snodland Flyer | — | 0.614 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.