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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Double The Oddsd 4y 17 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 28 | 26 (4) | 24 (6) | 29 (5) | 22 (6) | 29 (4) | 30 (4) | 35 (2) | 33 (3) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 46 | 45 | - | 49 | 46 | 46 | 1 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Traceys Molb 2y 16 | B D O'sullivan — 17% R523 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 72 | 28 (5) | 27 (6) | 40 (6) | 32 (1) | 35 (4) | 33 (3) | 35 (3) | 30 (1) | 34 (5) | - | 37 | 30 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 6 | 14/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Eire Eddied 5y 25 | M Mavrias — 19% R337 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 32 (3) | 29 (4) | 37 (2) | 32 (3) | 36 (2) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 27 (6) | 28 (6) | 40 (1) | 51 | 42 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 38 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Pearces Bluebellb 3y 15 | L B Pearce — 14% R160 W22 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 34 (3) | 27 (5) | 37 (1) | 28 (2) | 32 (4) | 28 (5) | 30 (3) | 36 (2) | 25 (5) | 24 (6) | 43 | 36 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 35 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Catunda Mileyb 2y 5 | D P Brabon — 23% R347 W81 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 32 (5) | 32 (3) | 33 (3) | 25 (3) | 30 (5) | 29 (4) | 40 (5) | 31 (1) | 37 (4) | - | 43 | 38 | 25 | 37 | 33 | 36 | 4 | 6/4F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hollyoak Speedyd 2y 15 | R W Butler — 16% R221 W36 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 36 (2) | 39 (1) | 37 (6) | 26 (1) | 17 (4) | 32 (6) | 30 (2) | 23 (2) | - | - | 61 | 45 | - | 45 | 28 | 39 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
Double The Odds has a genuine class override in this LOW SEPARATION race. His avgP of 46 sits 13 points above the field average of ~33 — more than double the 6+ threshold needed to override structural factors. His form trajectory of 49→66→79→52→69 shows a dog competing at a much higher level, having won D3 and placed at D2 recently. The Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) would normally be concerning at a sprint, but his performance gap is so large that even coming from behind, the field doesn't have the raw pace to hold him off. Speed of 53 is the joint-best in the field. Drawn in the DOMINANT T1 position at 20.6% from 228 runs, the structural data aligns perfectly with his class advantage. Trainer Morrison at 28% is a moderate positive. Track suit 45, distance suit 49, and trap suit 46 all confirm he's well-suited to these exact conditions.
DANGER: Best structural alignment in the race — DOMINANT T6 (20.6%) + field-best trap suit (61). In a LOW SEPARATION race this matters. Lowest avgP (28) is concerning, but the trap data from 320 runs outweighs one dog's performance metric. The main threat to the pick.
Fast from the boxes but in the DEAD T2 trap. Declining D2 form (5th, 2nd, 5th, 4th recently) and avgP 31 well below the class leader. Will lead early but likely weaken and get caught.
Best suitability in the field (mean 40) and proven D2 form, but the drop from D1 last time (6th) and avgP 32 leave him well short of the class leader. Could place but unlikely to threaten the pick.
DOMINANT T4 draw gives structural advantage, and D3 form is solid. But D2 form is mediocre (4th, 5th, 3rd) and avgP 31 leaves her well behind the class leader. Place possibility rather than winning chance.
Brabon's strong trainer signal and gently improving form make her competitive for a place. But T5's below-average structural position and avgP 33 cap her potential in a field with a clear class leader.
1,635 runs. LOW SEPARATION — R1 21.4% vs R3 17.0% = 4.4pp gap. Ratings offer limited predictive value at D2. T1, T4, T6 all DOMINANT above 20%. T2 DEAD at 13.5%. In a low-separation race, the class override from Double The Odds (avgP 46 vs field avg 33) is the decisive factor.
T1:20.6% T2:13.5% T3:17.0% T4:20.1% T5:15.8% T6:20.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.