Thursday 26th March 2026
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Innfield Hunterd 3y 7 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 49 | 41 (1) | 36 (2) | 30 (5) | 39 (3) | 36 (3) | 35 (4) | 30 (6) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 36 (3) | 24 | 32 | 21 | 45 | 36 | 34 | 3 | 1/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Insane Marshalld 4y 14 | L E Morrison — 23% R198 W45 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 33 (3) | 39 (1) | 36 (3) | 32 (3) | 33 (2) | 36 (3) | 31 (3) | 36 (1) | 31 (3) | 33 (2) | 30 | 27 | 21 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Cindyb 4yN/R 14 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 31 (2) | 29 (5) | 28 (4) | 25 (6) | 26 (5) | 28 (4) | 28 (5) | 31 (5) | 27 (6) | 33 (5) | 46 | 35 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 33 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Speedy Rossad 3y 35 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 100 | 37 (5) | 32 (5) | 25 (3) | 28 (5) | 41 (4) | 31 (1) | 46 (6) | 39 (2) | 59 (5) | - | 49 | 37 | 23 | 15 | 33 | 36 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Samarab 2y 36 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 13 | 66 (3) | 87 (1) | 85 (1) | 62 (4) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 83 (2) | 76 (1) | 69 (3) | 82 (2) | 25 | 41 | - | 40 | 79 | 58 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Pearces Magicb 3y 6 | L B Pearce — 14% R164 W23 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 38 (4) | 29 (2) | 36 (4) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 28 (3) | 36 (3) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | - | 11 | 37 | 27 | 41 | 29 | 27 | 5 | 6/1 | |
Droopys Samara is the standout class act of the entire Central Park card. Her avgP of 79 in a field averaging 39 represents a 40-point class gap — the most extreme override on any race today. Her competitive form at 83→90→82→83 shows a dog operating at OR/HP level where she won HP 491m and placed at OR 664m. She's dropping from that elite level down to D2 277m, which is an extraordinary class plunge. The Closer profile (CS 100) at a 277m sprint is the only genuine concern — at sprint distance, Closers normally struggle because there's no time to close. But this is where the class override principle applies in its most extreme form: when a dog is rated 40+ points above the field, the others simply aren't fast enough to stay clear regardless of running style. Her speed of 51 is mid-pack, which is surprising for her class, but speed ratings are distance-specific and she's primarily a 491m/664m dog. The last two runs are trials (P18, P21) so current fitness from trials must be taken on faith. Trainer Brabon at 30% is a strong positive.
DANGER: Extreme EP (100) + bend (100) from DOMINANT T4 + Brabon 30% = structural favourite for leading from the break. The question is whether she can hold at 277m with CS 0 and only trial form. If she's as good as the trials suggest, she could steal this from the front.
Most consistent runner (con 98) with improving form and DOMINANT T1 draw. Would be a genuine pick candidate in a normal D2 race, but Droopys Samara's class gap is too large. Best of the rest for a place.
DEAD T2 trap with modest D3 form stepping up to D2. The structural position and class profile both work against him. Unlikely to feature.
Consistent D2 runner who consistently finishes 4th-6th. Field-worst speed (44) and avgP 28 leave her well short. Fills the numbers without threatening.
DOMINANT T6 draw is undermined by trap suit of just 11 — she hasn't personally benefited from this position. Declining form and D3 level ability make D2 a stretch. The structural-individual mismatch keeps her out of the picture.
1,635 runs. LOW SEPARATION normally — but Droopys Samara's extreme class override (avgP 79 vs field avg 39) renders the separation analysis irrelevant. Even in a race where structural factors normally dominate, a 40-point class gap overrides everything.
T1:20.6% T2:13.5% T3:17.0% T4:20.1% T5:15.8% T6:20.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.