Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Monetb 3y 6 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 47 (4) | 83 (2) | 66 (1) | 59 (3) | 68 (4) | 90 (1) | 62 (2) | 43 (4) | 29 (3) | 62 (1) | 33 | 19 | 48 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 6 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Makeit Malachid 2y 15 | F J Gray — 20% R350 W70 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 25 (3) | 20 (3) | 27 (1) | 27 (1) | 42 (5) | 48 (4) | 36 (5) | 51 (2) | 61 (1) | 50 (2) | 43 | 43 | 32 | 32 | 45 | 43 | 1 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ Homebound Blankod 4y 38 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 46 (4) | 14 (3) | 44 (3) | 30 (6) | 32 (6) | 58 (2) | 40 (4) | 60 (1) | 37 (5) | 42 (5) | 40 | 31 | 47 | 26 | 42 | 39 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Melbury Galaxyb 2y 6 | A Welch — 15% R313 W47 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 52 | 35 (4) | 38 (4) | 33 (5) | 33 (3) | 28 (6) | 37 (4) | 47 (3) | 44 (3) | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 25 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 30 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Happy Ever Afterb 5y 16 | P J Dolby — 13% R52 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 38 | 32 (6) | 42 (4) | 59 (1) | 42 (3) | 39 (5) | 53 (2) | 36 (6) | 48 (2) | 42 (5) | 67 (1) | 28 | 34 | 40 | 33 | 46 | 41 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Quest Masterd 3y 16 | S L Thompson — 6% R16 W1 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 39 (3) | 39 (3) | 42 (4) | 50 (2) | 56 (1) | 40 (2) | 44 (4) | 41 (5) | 31 (6) | 43 (4) | 39 | 40 | 47 | 37 | 42 | 41 | 3 | 6/1 | |
The most compelling profile in this race when you combine trajectory, pace profile, and trainer. Form reads 42→48→36→52→61 — a clear IMPROVING trajectory with the latest 61 being the highest recent performance in the field. The improvement is genuine and progressive, not just one spike. All-Rounder profile (EP50/CS50) is ideal for 500m Towcester where the pace profile data shows no single style dominates at A7 grade. Speed 52 and bend 52 are solid mid-field numbers. Consistency score of 79 is the joint-highest in the race, confirming reliability. Trainer F J Gray at 32% is the standout trainer signal in this field — while the specific A7 Towcester data doesn't show Gray in the top tier (limited sample), a 32% overall win rate reflects elite dog placement and timing. Suitability is well-rounded: track 43, distance 32, trap 43, class 32.
DANGER: Best P (46), best speed (57), and drawn in the statistically best trap (T5 at 20.9%). The Closer profile suits a race with Faders setting pace. Inconsistency (11 blip) prevents Strong pick status, but on her day she's the class of this field.
Class deficit is too severe. P24 in a field averaging P39 means she's giving 15+ performance points to every rival. Likely to trail throughout.
Dangerous if the right version shows up. Two 58-60 runs prove the ability is there, but two 30-32 runs prove the inconsistency is real. Too volatile to trust as a primary selection.
In sharp decline with a 12 last out and poor suitability. The Fader profile at 500m compounds the problem. Needs to be opposed here.
Decent suitability and early pace but the Fader profile at 500m is a structural liability. Likely to lead early and weaken. Best case is holding on for a place if the Closers are slow to engage.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 22.9% vs R3 at 18.3% — just 4.6pp gap. Trap bias is unusually flat for Towcester 500m (no trap above 21%). This removes the usual T1 structural advantage and shifts emphasis to form, pace profile, and trainer quality. F J Gray is a strong trainer signal if present.
T1:16.5%(164) T2:19.6%(143) T3:18.8%(160) T4:19.1%(157) T5:20.9%(129) T6:19.4%(108)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Monet | — | — | No data |
2Makeit Malachi | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Homebound Blanko | 42 | 86 | Closer |
4Melbury Galaxy | 56 | 16 | Fader |
5Happy Ever After | 40 | 82 | Closer |
6Quest Master | 55 | 33 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.