Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Havana Kacib 2y 17 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 33 (1) | 15 (5) | 22 (4) | 33 (1) | 22 (4) | 21 (5) | 13 (6) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 19 (6) | 47 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 23 | 25 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crucial Rubyd 2y 6 | S A Clark — 20% R222 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 25 (2) | 54 (2) | 47 (3) | 45 (4) | 34 (5) | 64 (1) | 62 (1) | 24 (4) | 26 | 32 | 19 | 37 | 27 | 25 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Minnies Dariab 2y 15 | S A Clark — 20% R222 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 66 (1) | 42 (5) | 65 (1) | 54 (2) | 39 (4) | 55 (2) | 30 (6) | 49 (2) | 29 (6) | 21 (5) | 57 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Moaning Gabrield 1y 7 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 28 (3) | 49 (6) | 79 (2) | 37 (4) | 40 (4) | 35 (5) | 34 (1) | 19 (6) | 31 (2) | 32 (6) | 16 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Moaning Sugarayd 2y 17 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 33 (1) | 41 (6) | 100 (5) | 84 (1) | 86 (2) | 72 (3) | 54 (1) | 29 (3) | 53 (2) | - | 47 | 40 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Moaning Mojitob 2y 7 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 30 (2) | 26 (4) | 33 (5) | 71 (1) | 39 (1) | 35 (1) | 31 (2) | 51 (2) | 56 (4) | 45 (5) | 67 | 56 | 43 | 56 | 32 | 35 | 2 | 1/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Moaning Mojito | 15.40 | 15.61 | 15.75 | 58 | +0.35 | 15.40 best, best box | |
| 4 | Moaning Gabriel | 15.55 | 15.88 | 15.75 | 49 | +0.20 | Flying break, fades | |
| 5 | Moaning Sugaray | 15.57 | 15.60 | 15.72 | 57 | +0.15 | Open-class dropper | |
| 2 | Crucial Ruby | 15.61 | 15.83 | 15.83 | 50 | +0.22 | Slow break | |
| 1 | Havana Kaci | 15.63 | 16.16 | 15.73 | 44 | +0.10 | Won last time | |
| 3 | Minnies Daria | 15.94 | 15.94 | 15.84 | 40 | -0.10 | Drops from 415m |
Harlow's 238-metre dash — one bend, first-fifty-metres racing on a tight circuit where the best-bending dog wins nearly one in four. At D4 grade the outside box is the golden ticket: trap six wins 22.9% from 5,745 runs while trap five (16.1%) and trap two (16.8%) lag well behind. The Whitton kennel, running at a 26% strike rate, fires three bullets here from traps four, five and six, and they are the three fastest dogs in the race. Moaning Gabriel has the most explosive break in the field and will lead to the bend; the question is whether he lasts, because he tends to empty late. Moaning Mojito, three lengths quicker than anything here on best time and drawn in the box that wins most, should be the one striding past when it matters, with last week's winner Moaning Sugaray finishing off from the worst draw.
The fastest dog in this race by a serious margin — his 15.40 course and distance best is three lengths clear of anything else in the field, he backed it up with the fastest trial of the summer earlier this month, and his average times are just as strong. He gets trap six, the standout box at D4 winning nearly 23%, his record here reads two wins and four top-two finishes from five starts, and he was second last week. Add a kennel running at 26% and there is very little to pick at. He ran a 71-rated race in A6 company earlier this year, so class is not a question either. The clear call.
Won this grade and trip last week and the back form is on another level entirely — she was running ratings in the 80s and a peak of 100 in open-class company earlier this spring. Dogs with that history dropping into a D4 are always dangerous, and her 15.60 average time over course and distance is actually the best in the field. The one thing wrong with her card is the draw: trap five wins just 16.1% at this grade, comfortably the worst box on the track. Kennel companion to the selection. If she overcomes the draw she is probably the best dog in the race.
The fastest breaker in the field with a first-bend rating to match — he will almost certainly lead this race into the turn, and his 15.55 best time is second only to the selection. He has genuine class in the book too, with a 79-rated run in open company in June. The concerns: he tends to weaken in the closing stages even over this short trip, his ratings have dropped since that June peak, and he has been trialling heavily — eight spins since spring — which often signals a dog connections are still trying to sort out. One win from six course and distance starts. Dangerous early, catchable late.
Comes here on the back of a win at this grade and trip last week, his best rating in months, and he has a solid ten runs of course and distance experience with two wins. All his recent racing has been at D4 so the form is honest. The trouble is the company he keeps today: his ratings and times sit well below the three Whitton runners, and his 16.16 average over course and distance is the slowest in the field. Trap one is a fair box at 18%. A repeat of last week gets him into the places; winning this needs the big guns to misfire.
Her 15.61 best time shows she can go quick enough to be involved, and she has a win and two places from four course and distance starts. But she is among the slowest breakers you will see in sprint company — her early pace rating is the lowest in this field by a distance — and a 238-metre dash from trap two, which wins under 17% at this grade, is about the worst possible assignment for that style. Her better form came at A7 over the longer trip. Others are far better suited to the shape of this race.
Arrives in cracking form — she won at A7 over 415 metres last week with a 66-rated effort, and her recent ratings tower over her sprint rivals here. But this is a very different test: she has raced just once over course and distance, she is a slow starter who needs time and distance to wind up, and a one-bend dash gives her neither. Her sprint best of 15.94 is the slowest in the field. The form figures look pretty; the fit is all wrong. Watch for her over four bends instead.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear best box at D4 over 238m, winning 22.9% from 966 runs — a six-point edge over the worst draw. The top-rated dog (20.8%) and fastest dog (20.9%) win at near-identical rates, so the draw edge is the sharpest structural angle at this grade. 5,745 runs.
T1:18.0% T2:16.8% T3:18.0% T4:17.9% T5:16.1% T6:22.9%
5,745 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 238m | 415m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Havana Kaci | — | 0.679 | — | — |
| 2 | Crucial Ruby | — | 0.665 | 0.670 | — |
| 3 | Minnies Daria | — | 0.670 | 0.668 | — |
| 4 | Moaning Gabriel | — | 0.667 | 0.671 | 0.651 |
| 5 | Moaning Sugaray | 0.632 | 0.655 | 0.660 | — |
| 6 | Moaning Mojito | — | 0.656 | 0.664 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.