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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Waffleb 4y 15 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 52 (3) | 31 (1) | 24 (3) | 48 (4) | 37 (5) | 65 (1) | 51 (2) | 37 (5) | 20 (2) | 43 (5) | 43 | 32 | 32 | 39 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bit Of Coverb 3y 6 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 28 (2) | 23 (4) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 31 (1) | 20 (4) | 20 (5) | 23 (4) | 61 (5) | 81 (1) | 16 | 17 | 29 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Moaning Louiseb 1y 15 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 21 (3) | 17 (6) | 24 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 17 (5) | 26 (3) | 20 (5) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 21 | 34 | 44 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 4 | 9/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shesgoodcompanyb 4y 16 | P Clarke — 14% R438 W63 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 31 (1) | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 31 (1) | 16 (6) | 27 (2) | 15 (6) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 24 | 24 | 36 | 40 | 24 | 26 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Doggy Partonb 2y 17 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 34 (5) | 22 (4) | 16 (5) | 30 (1) | 28 (2) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 23 (3) | 23 (3) | 20 (5) | 18 | 28 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kilbobbin Bennyd 4y 16 | P Clarke — 14% R438 W63 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 25 (3) | 19 (6) | 27 (2) | 23 (3) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 25 (2) | 25 (3) | 40 | 36 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 28 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Moaning Louise | 15.60 | 16.04 | 16.17 | 50 | +0.57 | 3 C&D wins | |
| 4 | Shesgoodcompany | 15.66 | 16.05 | 15.88 | 54 | +0.22 | Won last time | |
| 2 | Bit Of Cover | 15.69 | 16.10 | 16.06 | 50 | +0.37 | Fast trials | |
| 6 | Kilbobbin Benny | 15.77 | 15.97 | 16.01 | 51 | +0.24 | 0 wins, 5 places | |
| 1 | Swift Waffle | 15.79 | 16.08 | 15.69 | 52 | -0.10 | Drops from 415m | |
| 5 | Doggy Parton | 15.85 | 16.12 | 15.91 | 45 | +0.06 | Worst box |
One bend, 238 metres, on Harlow's tight circuit — the best-bending dog wins nearly one in four of these and the race is usually settled before the back straight. At D5 the draw stats from 6,761 runs favour trap six (21.9%) and trap three (20%), with trap five the box to avoid at 14.6%. This is a competitive heat between proven course sprinters: four of the six have double-figure course and distance experience. Shesgoodcompany arrives as a last-time-out winner with the best speed figures in the field, Moaning Louise owns the fastest best time and three course wins of her own, and the perennial bridesmaid Kilbobbin Benny — five places, no wins from ten — gets the best box. Expect a tight, scrappy first bend with the winner coming from the three and four boxes.
Won this exact contest last week with her best rating in months and she is the fastest dog in the field on speed figures — the strongest single pointer at this grade, where the quickest dog wins one in four. Her course and distance book reads three wins and five top-two finishes from ten starts, all at this level, so the form is honest and the track holds no secrets. Trap four is middle-of-the-road at 18.6% but she has won from all sorts of draws here. With the Clarke kennel ticking along at 24%, a repeat performance makes her very hard to beat.
Owns the fastest best time in the field — a 15.60 that nothing here has matched — and has won three of her ten course and distance starts for the in-form Whitton kennel, running at 26%. She gets trap three, the second-best box at this grade at 20%, and was third here last week. Her recent ratings have been modest, in the high teens and low 20s, but her record says she saves her best for this track and trip. The clearest threat to the selection and preferred over the rest.
The form pick on ratings — he ran a 52 when third over 415 metres last week and has a 65-rated effort in his book, numbers this field cannot match. He also has a win and two places from just three course and distance starts, and his latest sprint clocking of 15.69 is among the fastest here. The reservations: he is better known as a strong finisher than a fast starter, which is the wrong profile for a one-bend dash from trap one at a grade where the inside box wins under 17%. Classy, quick and versatile, but the shape of the race is not his friend.
Second here ten days ago and has been keeping better company lately, with most of his recent runs at D4 — a grade above this. His trial work in the spring was quick, including a 15.65 all-the-way spin, and his 15.69 race best stands up in this field. But one win from eight course and distance starts is a modest return, his ratings sit in the low 20s, and trap two is the second-worst box at this grade at 16.2%. Competitive without being convincing.
Her latest run was actually her best rating in months — a 34 when fifth over the longer 415-metre trip — and she has two wins and three places from nine course and distance starts, so she is no stranger to winning here. But she has drawn trap five, the worst box at this grade and distance at 14.6%, her speed figures are the lowest in the field, and her best sprint time of 15.85 leaves her several lengths adrift of the principals. The Hurlock kennel is in decent form at 24%, which is the kindest thing her card offers.
The great nearly-dog of Harlow's sprints — ten course and distance starts, five second-place finishes, and not a single win. He was runner-up again last week, his average times are actually the most consistent in the field, and now he draws trap six, the best box at this grade at 21.9%. Everything says he will be in the mix again; history says someone else will pass the post first. At some point the draw, the consistency and the law of averages will conspire to get him a win — backers just need to decide if today is finally that day.
Key insight: The fastest dog wins 24.9% at D5 over 238m versus 20.5% for the top-rated — speed is the strongest signal at this grade. Trap 6 (21.9%) and trap 3 (20.0%) lead the draw stats; trap 5 (14.6%) trails. 6,761 runs.
T1:16.7% T2:16.2% T3:20.0% T4:18.6% T5:14.6% T6:21.9%
6,761 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 400m | 415m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Waffle | 0.676 | — | 0.668 | — |
| 2 | Bit Of Cover | 0.676 | 0.550 | — | 0.553 |
| 3 | Moaning Louise | 0.674 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Shesgoodcompany | 0.674 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Doggy Parton | 0.677 | — | 0.684 | — |
| 6 | Kilbobbin Benny | 0.671 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.