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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tapa Torpedob 2y 5 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 23 (3) | 19 (5) | 25 (2) | 17 (6) | 21 (4) | 20 (4) | 17 (5) | 14 (6) | 22 (4) | 31 (1) | 28 | 25 | 16 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Emers Gemb 3y 6 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 17 (6) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 19 (6) | 19 (4) | 25 (2) | 25 (2) | 15 (6) | 17 (6) | 21 (4) | 30 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Old Bed Forrestd 2y 7 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 16 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (3) | 16 (5) | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 19 (4) | 22 (3) | 15 (6) | 18 (5) | 18 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Catunda Remib 2y 16 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 21 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (6) | 26 (2) | 24 (2) | 30 (2) | 20 (1) | 16 (4) | 30 (6) | - | 21 | 36 | 35 | 30 | 24 | 23 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Burrow Bountyb 5y 25 | P Clarke — 14% R438 W63 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 15 (5) | 26 (2) | 22 (4) | 23 (3) | 21 (4) | 25 (4) | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 29 (2) | 32 (1) | 24 | 32 | 38 | 29 | 23 | 22 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Olwinn Jacksond 2y 6 | D F Carter — 13% R345 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 20 (5) | 22 (3) | 23 (4) | 17 (6) | 23 (3) | 17 (6) | 30 (1) | 21 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Burrow Bounty | 15.55 | 16.02 | 16.65 | 53 | +1.10 | 15.55 best, worst box | |
| 1 | Tapa Torpedo | 15.77 | 16.17 | 16.32 | 52 | +0.55 | 3rd last time | |
| 3 | Old Bed Forrest | 15.81 | 16.27 | 16.15 | 49 | +0.34 | 6th last time | |
| 6 | Olwinn Jackson | 15.85 | 16.16 | 16.07 | 53 | +0.22 | Best box | |
| 4 | Catunda Remi | 15.87 | 16.11 | 16.53 | 50 | +0.66 | 7 of 10 top-two | |
| 2 | Emers Gem | 15.91 | 16.24 | 16.53 | 46 | +0.62 | 6th last time |
The morning card signs off with its most open race — six exposed D5 sprinters, every one of them with exactly ten course and distance runs, over Harlow's one-bend 238 metres where trap six wins 21.9% and trap five just 14.6% at this grade. Nothing here separates on class: the ratings all sit in the low 20s and the win records range from one to two apiece. The stopwatch offers the only real angles. Burrow Bounty owns a 15.55 best that nothing else in this field has approached, but he is drawn in the worst box and his latest run was six lengths slower. Catunda Remi is the steadiest performer with seven top-two finishes from ten and a quick trial this month, and Olwinn Jackson gets the favoured wide box. A messy first bend is likely, and whoever exits it in front probably survives.
The steadiest dog in the most unsteady race on the card. Two wins and five places from ten course and distance starts give her a 70% top-two rate that nothing here can match, her ratings have held in a tight 21-to-30 band all summer while her rivals have lurched about, and she warmed up for this with a quick 15.96 trial at the start of the month, leading all the way. Third here last week. Trap four is fair at 18.6% for the grade and the Hurlock kennel operates at a solid 24%. In a race where every runner has a flaw, hers — a best time a length or so shy of the very quickest — is the most liveable-with.
The fastest dog in the race by a wide margin — his 15.55 course and distance best is two lengths clear of anything else here, and his speed figures share top spot in the field. Two wins from ten course and distance starts. Then the problems begin: he has drawn trap five, the worst box at this grade winning under 15%, and his latest run was a fifth in 16.65, more than six lengths off that best. The Clarke kennel's 24% strike rate says he is in good hands. If the real Burrow Bounty gets in the traps he wins this despite the draw; recent evidence says that dog has not been seen for a while.
Gets the box the stats love — trap six wins 21.9% at this grade, the best on the track — and his speed figures share top spot in the field. His recent form is honest if unspectacular: ratings between 19 and 25 in every one of his last six, with a 16.07 latest clocking that stands up reasonably in this company. One win from ten course and distance starts is the modest bottom line, and his trial work this spring was slow. The draw gives him every chance of a clear run around the outside; whether he is quite quick enough to make it count is the question.
Third here last week and his 15.77 best time is second only to the danger's in this field. He has been a fixture at this grade and trip all summer — ten runs, one win, two places — with ratings that rarely stray from the high teens and low 20s. The rail draw is a mixed blessing at this grade, winning just 16.7%, and his latest clocking of 16.32 was five lengths off his best. Solid, exposed, and needs a career-type run or first-bend chaos to win it.
Last of six on her most recent start and her form line makes grim reading — one win and three places from ten course and distance runs, with ratings stuck under 20 in four of her last five. The 30-rated run three starts back shows a pulse, and her one win here proves it can be done, but her 16.53 latest clocking was the joint-slowest recent time in the field and trap two wins just 16.2% at this grade. Very hard to make a case beyond hope.
Drawn in trap three, the second-best box at this grade at 20%, and his 16.15 latest clocking was actually one of the sharper recent times in this field — a quiet sign of life after a sixth-place finish last time. His 31-rated run two starts back is the second-best recent rating in the race. Against that, one win from ten course and distance starts and a career of low-20s form say he is what he is: an honest D5 sprinter who needs the breaks. The box gives him a puncher's chance.
Key insight: The fastest dog wins 24.9% at D5 over 238m — but in this race the fastest career clocking belongs to the dog in the worst box (trap 5, 14.6%), setting the two strongest signals directly against each other. 6,761 runs.
T1:16.7% T2:16.2% T3:20.0% T4:18.6% T5:14.6% T6:21.9%
6,761 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.