The future of racing: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Socrates Smiledb 1y 27 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 53 (2) | 42 (5) | 45 (5) | 75 (1) | 49 (4) | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 52 (3) | 71 (1) | 53 (3) | 37 | 46 | 54 | 43 | 55 | 44 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Eire Bulletd 5y 27 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 39 (5) | 46 (5) | 40 (5) | 67 (3) | 38 (5) | 56 (3) | 79 (1) | 53 (5) | 74 (1) | 48 (5) | 8 | 23 | 34 | 18 | 51 | 38 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sterling Ladyb 2y 7 | R Pattinson — 13% R96 W12 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 56 (3) | 61 (3) | 48 (5) | 54 (4) | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 73 (1) | 71 (1) | 35 (5) | 63 (2) | 18 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 56 | 43 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollyoak Lisab 3y 5 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 60 (2) | 49 (3) | 54 (3) | 37 (6) | 54 (5) | 41 (5) | 63 (4) | 63 (3) | 57 (4) | 28 (5) | 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 4 | 5/2F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Footfield Josieb 3y 3 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R252 W33 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 44 | 61 (2) | 52 (4) | 55 (3) | 52 (4) | 68 (2) | 58 (4) | 33 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 34 (3) | 28 | 33 | 37 | 25 | 57 | 52 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Quaild 1y 4 | D P Brabon — 19% R304 W59 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 34 | 59 (3) | 70 (1) | 44 (2) | 27 (6) | 23 (6) | 33 (5) | - | - | - | - | 3 | 23 | 2 | 26 | 47 | 33 | 6 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eire Bullet | 29.78 | 30.18 | 30.51 | 47 | +0.73 | ||
| 4 | Hollyoak Lisa | 29.80 | 30.18 | 30.03 | 55 | +0.23 | 0 wins at trip | |
| 1 | Socrates Smiled | 29.83 | 30.16 | 30.24 | 50 | +0.41 | 3 C&D wins | |
| 5 | Footfield Josie | 29.84 | 29.99 | 30.22 | 55 | +0.38 | Best avg time | |
| 3 | Sterling Lady | 29.99 | 30.28 | 30.16 | 47 | +0.17 | ||
| 6 | Swift Quail | 30.02 | 30.73 | 30.28 | 35 | +0.26 | Slowest field times |
Central Park's 491m may sit on a big galloping circuit but the short run-up into a difficult first bend makes it ride tight, and the trap pattern at A4 grade is unusual: trap 6 is the standout box at nearly 26% from 151 runs while trap 4 — normally a good draw here — collapses to 13.5%, the worst slot on the card. That's an awkward wrinkle for this field, because the two fastest dogs on the clock, Hollyoak Lisa and Footfield Josie, are drawn four and five, and both tend to be outpaced early and rely on a strong late run. Socrates Smiled from the rail is the proven winner in the race — three victories from ten at the course and distance — and he'll be up there early, with Eire Bullet alongside. Swift Quail gets the golden box but has the slowest times in the field. Expect Socrates to control it from the front pair and the closers to be finishing hard.
The only proven winner at the trip in this field — three wins and five top-two finishes from ten at the course and distance, a 29% career strike rate, and a fine second here ten days ago. He shows sharp early pace and can weaken late, but from the rail he should get first run round that awkward opening bend, and most of his recent racing has been at A3 — a grade above today's level. His best clocking of 29.83 is right with the quickest here. In a race where the two fastest dogs are drawn in the worst part of the track and neither has ever won over the trip, his winning habit is the difference.
The best average time in the field and the top performance figures too — she was second here last week and has been placed in four of her last six. Like Hollyoak Lisa she's a strong finisher who gives the leaders a start, and like Lisa she's never won at the course and distance (six tries). But her draw is kinder, her 44% place rate says she's always in the mix, and if the early pace overcooks itself she's the one swooping. The main danger.
Most of his recent racing has been at A3, so like the selection he drops a grade, and he hit a rating of 67 within his last four runs. But the last few weeks have been flat — fifth here last Friday with clockings drifting towards 30.4 — and two wins from ten at the course and distance is a modest return. He races up with the pace early, which helps, but he needs to find his spring form again.
An A4 regular — six straight runs at the grade — who was a sound third here last week and rarely runs a bad race, with a 61-rated effort in her last couple of runs. Versatile in her running style, she keeps finding the frame without winning much: two victories from ten at the course and distance and a 13% career strike rate. Place claims again, but others have more upside.
The top speed rating in the race and a fast-finishing second here last week — on the clock she has every right to fight this out. Two big problems: she's never won in nine tries at this course and distance, and she's landed in the dead box — trap 4 wins just 13.5% of A4 races at this trip, the worst slot on the card. Outpaced early and relying on a late surge from the wrong part of the track, she's likelier to be doing her best work for second again.
Gets the golden ticket — trap 6 wins nearly 26% of A4 races at this trip, far and away the best box — but he's the slowest dog in the field on every measure, with a best of 30.02 and an average nearly a second off the pace. A 70-rated run two starts back shows he can pop a big one, and he stays on late, so the draw could carry him into the frame. Winning would need the race to fall apart completely.
Key insight: Trap 6 dominates A4 at 25.8% from 151 runs while trap 4 is the dead box at 13.5% — a reversal of the usual pattern at this trip. The top-rated dog wins only 20.3%, so this is a grade to lean on structure over ratings.
T1:18.7% T2:18.9% T3:15.5% T4:13.5% T5:17.5% T6:25.8%
1,044 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Socrates Smiled | 55 | 27 | Fader |
2Eire Bullet | 55 | 23 | Fader |
3Sterling Lady | 51 | 37 | All-Rounder |
4Hollyoak Lisa | 49 | 63 | Closer |
5Footfield Josie | 46 | 89 | Closer |
6Swift Quail | 23 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Socrates Smiled | — | 0.614 |
| 2 | Eire Bullet | — | 0.615 |
| 3 | Sterling Lady | — | 0.617 |
| 4 | Hollyoak Lisa | 0.610 | 0.615 |
| 5 | Footfield Josie | 0.610 | 0.611 |
| 6 | Swift Quail | — | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.