| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lady Kittyb 2y 8 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R497 W100 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 39 (2) | 38 (2) | 46 (1) | 40 (3) | 38 (3) | 41 (2) | 43 (2) | 36 (2) | 41 (3) | - | 52 | 45 | 43 | 46 | 40 | 43 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Beach Holidayb 3y 6 | T M Levers — 12% R91 W11 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 46 (1) | 39 (3) | 46 (1) | 37 (3) | 40 (1) | 33 (3) | 37 (1) | 27 (5) | 31 (2) | 34 (2) | 45 | 34 | 34 | 49 | 39 | 40 | 3 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Wicky Podged 1y 16 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R497 W100 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 64 (4) | 56 (6) | 62 (5) | 43 (4) | 31 (2) | 24 (1) | 37 (3) | - | - | - | 38 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 34 | 31 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Unitedd 3y 43 | D P Brabon — 19% R304 W59 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 55 (4) | 90 (1) | 40 (2) | 47 (1) | 40 (2) | 38 (2) | 30 (4) | 47 (1) | 34 (4) | 35 (4) | 36 | 35 | 36 | 45 | 40 | 17 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rocket Roseb 3y 5 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R497 W100 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 46 (1) | 37 (3) | 37 (3) | 38 (3) | 31 (4) | 40 (2) | 74 (4) | 74 (4) | 33 (4) | 47 (1) | 31 | 37 | 43 | 30 | 39 | 38 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Raymonds Charlied 3y 5 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 47 (1) | 31 (5) | 37 (2) | 47 (1) | 34 (3) | 33 (5) | 37 (3) | 30 (5) | 28 (6) | 28 (5) | 32 | 32 | 44 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Swift United | 16.26 | 16.55 | 16.26 | 58 | 0.00 | A1 dropper, quick | |
| 5 | Rocket Rose | 16.34 | 16.62 | 16.49 | 52 | +0.15 | Won last time | |
| 6 | Raymonds Charlie | 16.37 | 16.71 | 16.44 | 50 | +0.07 | ||
| 1 | Lady Kitty | 16.41 | 16.57 | 16.65 | 50 | +0.24 | ||
| 3 | Wicky Podge | 16.51 | 16.89 | 17.09 | 35 | +0.58 | OR class dropper | |
| 2 | Beach Holiday | 16.53 | 16.69 | 16.62 | 47 | +0.09 | Dead box |
The 277m trip at Central Park is a pure test of gate speed — a short charge to a difficult first bend where the leader is rarely caught. At D1 grade trap 4 is the box to have, winning 22% from 375 runs with trap 6 close behind, while traps 1 and 2 are the graveyard side at under 15%. The fastest dog wins one in four at this level, and today the fastest dog is also in the best box: Swift United has been mixing it at A1 over the full trip lately, owns a 16.26 best that nothing here can touch, and won his prep trial in 16.54 a fortnight ago. Rocket Rose has genuine claims of chasing him home from five, and both last-time-out winners — Beach Holiday and Raymonds Charlie — will be attacking the bend hard. Wicky Podge drops in from open-class sprints and is the joker in the pack. Pace on top of pace, but one dog has more of it than the rest.
Everything lines up. He's the fastest dog in the race by a clear margin — a 16.26 best at the course and distance that no rival has approached — and he's drawn in trap 4, the best-performing box at this grade and trip. His last two races came at A1 level over the full 491m, where he ran a 90-rated career best in June, so he drops back to a sprint against D1 company holding far stronger form than anything he meets here. He won his 277m prep trial in 16.54 two weeks ago, confirming the sprint speed is primed. Two wins and five top-two finishes from eight at the course and distance round it off. Hard to pick holes.
The best career strike rate in the field at 31% and a winner here on the fourth of July, backed up by the second-fastest recent times — a 16.34 best and 16.49 last time out. She's drawn one outside the selection, which means she'll likely be chasing his shadow to the bend, but if he's slow away she has the pace to pounce. The clear second string.
The ultimate frame-filler — placed in seven of her ten runs at this course and distance with a 60% place rate, but just the one win in that time. Second here ten days ago and never runs a bad race, so she's rock-solid forecast material. The rail draw is a quiet box at this grade though, and her best of 16.41 has the faster ones ahead of her on the clock.
Won here last week and boasts the best winning record in the field at the trip — four victories from ten with six top-two finishes. She's clearly thriving, but the draw is brutal: trap 2 wins fewer than 13% of D1 sprints here, the worst box on the card. Her times are honest rather than blistering, and from the wrong slot she'll need the break of her life to hold the speedsters wide of her.
The intriguing one — his last three runs came in open-class sprints where he rated between 56 and 64, figures that would swallow this field whole. But he was only fourth in the latest and his raw speed rating here is the lowest in the race, suggesting those opens were run at a different rhythm. Dropping from open company to D1 is a big class move in his favour and trap 3 is a fair box. If he transfers even most of that form he's a player; the doubt is real, though.
Won here ten days ago in 16.44 and gets a strong box — trap 6 takes nearly 22% of D1 sprints at this trip. His form reads honestly rather than spectacularly, with two wins from ten at the course and distance and ratings that bounce around the mid-30s and 40s. He'll be attacking the first bend from the outside and is the sort to profit if the inside pace tangles. Solid each-way alternative.
Key insight: The fastest dog wins 25.2% at D1 (714 runs) — the strongest signal at this grade. Trap 4 best at 22.1%, traps 1-2 weak at under 15%.
T1:14.5% T2:12.9% T3:19.5% T4:22.1% T5:17.0% T6:21.6%
2,246 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 285m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Kitty | 0.598 | — | — |
| 2 | Beach Holiday | 0.603 | — | — |
| 3 | Wicky Podge | 0.610 | 0.595 | — |
| 4 | Swift United | 0.597 | — | 0.603 |
| 5 | Rocket Rose | 0.600 | — | — |
| 6 | Raymonds Charlie | 0.603 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.