Watch PGR On Sky Sports Racing
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Maggieb 4y 16 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 31 (2) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 22 (4) | 27 (4) | 29 (4) | 17 (5) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 35 | 29 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 3 | 6/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Freda My Blondieb 3y 14 | L B Pearce — 17% R123 W21 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 23 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 30 (3) | 25 (5) | 30 (4) | 36 (1) | 16 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Woodys Wombled 2y 4 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R252 W33 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 26 (4) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 34 (1) | 30 (2) | 22 (5) | 18 (6) | 26 (5) | 18 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 25 | 24 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cronody Hendrikab 3y 34 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 31 (3) | 34 (2) | 33 (2) | 40 (1) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 29 (4) | 30 (3) | 29 (2) | 22 (5) | 18 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Silver Medalb 5y 25 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 24 (5) | 30 (2) | 36 (2) | 35 (2) | 25 (5) | 32 (4) | 36 (1) | 28 (2) | 25 (6) | 33 (3) | 40 | 33 | 45 | 33 | 30 | 28 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Broadway Mistb 5y 15 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 34 (2) | 25 (5) | 29 (3) | 29 (3) | 30 (5) | 35 (1) | 30 (3) | 17 (6) | 20 (6) | 34 (2) | 32 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 29 | 30 | 4 | 11/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cronody Hendrika | 16.70 | 16.94 | 16.95 | 57 | +0.25 | Speed pick, 78 days off | |
| 1 | Hollyoak Maggie | 16.74 | 17.10 | 16.74 | 55 | 0.00 | Sharp last time | |
| 5 | Silver Medal | 16.76 | 16.95 | 17.06 | 54 | +0.30 | ||
| 6 | Broadway Mist | 16.85 | 17.10 | 17.00 | 50 | +0.15 | ||
| 2 | Freda My Blondie | 16.88 | 17.13 | 17.43 | 42 | +0.55 | ||
| 3 | Woodys Womble | 17.02 | 17.20 | 17.44 | 38 | +0.42 | Slowest in field |
Central Park's 277m is settled by the charge to a tricky first bend, and D3 is the track's great leveller — the top-rated dog wins only about one in five at this grade and the trap pattern is nearly flat, with traps 4 and 6 marginally best and trap 3 quietest. The numbers here are thin on stand-out signals, so treat every lean as a lean. Cronody Hendrika owns the top speed rating and the best box, but she hasn't raced since the end of April and her two comeback trials were won in pedestrian times. Hollyoak Maggie is the form runner — she matched her career best of 16.74 last time out and sits second on the speed charts from the rail. Silver Medal and Broadway Mist are honest mid-division types, and Freda My Blondie and Woodys Womble look held on the clock. Hendrika fresh versus Maggie race-fit is the crux of it.
On the raw numbers she wins: the top speed rating and top performance figures in the field, a proven record of two wins and five top-two finishes from ten at this course and distance, and the best box at the grade. The asterisk is a big one — she hasn't raced since the end of April, and while she won her comeback trial ten days ago, the clock said 17.38, well short of her 16.70 best. All her racing form came at D2, a grade above this, so if the layoff hasn't dulled her she has class in hand. A confident pick on ability, a nervous one on fitness.
The form horse of the race. She equalled her career best of 16.74 when second here two and a half weeks ago, her ratings have climbed steadily through recent runs, and she owns the second-best speed rating in the field. One win from ten at the course and distance keeps expectations honest, and the rail is only a fair draw at this grade, but she's the freshest current form in the line-up and the biggest threat to the selection — arguably an each-way bet in her own right.
Honest but limited — third here on Monday, yet her ratings have been stuck in the low-to-mid 20s for months and her last clocking of 17.43 is among the slowest in the field. One win from ten at the course and distance and the second-lowest speed rating complete a modest picture. Hard to see her beating the front two on any recent evidence.
Struggling at this level — fourth on Monday, a 9% career strike rate and the slowest speed rating in the race, with a best time that trails the leaders by nearly half a second. He now draws the quietest box at the grade as well. He won a trial in June in a respectable 16.96, so there's a flicker of ability, but everything else points the wrong way.
Lives up to the name — placed in nearly half his starts with a 45% place rate, but only one win from ten at this course and distance. His ratings dipped through June and he was fifth at this grade last time, though a winning trial in mid-June suggests he's ticking over. Third on the speed charts, he's the sort to hit the frame again without quite landing the verdict.
Second at D2 a fortnight ago, so he drops a grade in decent heart, and trap 6 is joint-best at this level. But one win from ten at the course and distance and mid-pack speed figures make him more solid than scary, and his 17.00 last clocking leaves him needing improvement to catch the front two. Each-way possibilities in an open contest.
Key insight: D3 is the flattest grade here — top-rated wins just 19.1% and the best trap edge is under four points. The fastest dog wins 21.8%, the only signal worth leaning on.
T1:17.2% T2:16.1% T3:15.2% T4:18.9% T5:15.9% T6:18.9%
2,150 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.