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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Traceys Molb 2y 16 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R496 W100 P282 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (3) | 29 (3) | 28 (4) | 36 (1) | 28 (5) | 28 (5) | 27 (6) | 40 (6) | 32 (1) | - | 25 | 23 | 31 | 17 | 30 | 26 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Eire Markod 6y 35 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 22 (5) | 20 (6) | 27 (5) | 30 (4) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 24 (5) | 26 (4) | 33 (2) | 31 (3) | 32 | 29 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ferndale Freeb 3y 17 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (6) | 17 (6) | 21 (6) | 41 (1) | 34 (3) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 28 (5) | 36 (1) | 38 | 32 | 34 | 21 | 28 | 27 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fagans Dreamingd 3y 5 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 22 (6) | 34 (2) | 29 (2) | 23 (4) | 25 (6) | 25 (4) | 25 (5) | 36 (5) | 35 (1) | - | 30 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Knockduff Sallyb 3y 15 | L B Pearce — 17% R123 W21 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 32 (3) | 22 (6) | 26 (4) | 36 (4) | 42 (1) | 35 (1) | 65 (3) | 56 (3) | 51 (5) | 78 (1) | 29 | 39 | 28 | 21 | 31 | 29 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fear Of Wingsd 3y 6 | L B Pearce — 17% R123 W21 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 30 (2) | 27 (5) | 18 (6) | 32 (6) | 29 (4) | 30 (2) | 30 (5) | 41 (5) | 30 (1) | - | 57 | 27 | 37 | 27 | 30 | 34 | 2 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knockduff Sally | 16.41 | 16.88 | 16.85 | 62 | +0.44 | Speed standout | |
| 6 | Fear Of Wings | 16.61 | 16.95 | 17.17 | 54 | +0.56 | 2nd on speed | |
| 3 | Ferndale Free | 16.62 | 17.03 | 17.36 | 49 | +0.74 | ||
| 4 | Fagans Dreaming | 16.74 | 17.06 | 17.46 | 45 | +0.72 | Slow last time | |
| 1 | Traceys Mol | 16.76 | 16.97 | 17.19 | 51 | +0.43 | ||
| 2 | Eire Marko | 16.81 | 17.08 | 17.26 | 46 | +0.45 |
The 277m dash at Central Park is won and lost in the first three seconds — the short run to a tricky first bend means the quick breakers control the race and there's precious little time for anything else to develop. D3 grade is one of the more open levels here: the trap pattern is flat, with traps 4 and 6 marginally best at just under 19% apiece and trap 3 the quiet box, and even the top-rated dog only wins about one in five — so treat every angle as a lean rather than gospel. The pace map points one way though: Knockduff Sally jumps well and likes to make all, and her speed figures tower over this field. Fear Of Wings from the wide box is the next quickest and should chase her round, with Traceys Mol steady away on the rail. If Sally breaks on terms, the rest are racing for second.
The class act of the race. Her speed rating of 62 is eight points clear of anything else here, her 16.41 best is the fastest in the field by a full tenth, and she's been racing at D2 and D1 — she drops a grade today. She jumps well and likes to make all, exactly the style that wins these sprints, and she was clocking 16.85 when third in a D2 only four days ago. Two wins from six at the course and distance complete a rock-solid profile. The draw is ordinary but on raw pace she's simply better than these.
Second on the speed charts and drawn in the joint-best box at this grade, with a second place here last week to build on. He's versatile — can race prominently or come from off the pace — and his winning trial in 16.85 last month shows the dash is real. Only one win from eight at the course and distance is the nagging doubt, but he profiles as the main danger if the selection misses her break.
Honest and consistent — third here last week and rarely runs a stinker, with two wins from ten at this course and distance. The trouble is the ceiling: her ratings sit in a narrow band and her recent clockings around 17.1 don't get near the two speedballs drawn wide of her. She'll be handy early from the rail and could nick a place if the leaders tangle.
His form tailed off through June — fifth last time and ratings drifting since a couple of stronger efforts at D1 in the spring. Two course and distance wins show he handles the track, but his recent times in the 17.2s are the slow end of this field and he's the slowest on the ratings too. Needs a big bounce-back.
Three wins from ten at this course and distance is a solid record, and he hit a rating of 41 within his last four runs — proof the engine is still there. But his last two efforts were flat, he was sixth in a D2 last week, and he's drawn in the quietest box at this grade. The sort who pops up at a price when least expected, but hard to trust today.
A D3 regular — six straight runs at this grade — with two wins and four places from ten at the course and distance, so he knows his way round. He was well beaten in sixth last week though, and his recent clockings around 17.4 are the slowest in the race. The draw is the best box at this grade, which helps, but he needs the front pair to take each other out.
Key insight: D3 is a leveller here — the top-rated dog wins only 19.1% (729 runs) and the trap spread is barely four points. The fastest dog wins 21.8%, the best single edge available.
T1:17.2% T2:16.1% T3:15.2% T4:18.9% T5:15.9% T6:18.9%
2,150 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Traceys Mol | 0.613 | — |
| 2 | Eire Marko | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Ferndale Free | 0.615 | — |
| 4 | Fagans Dreaming | 0.616 | — |
| 5 | Knockduff Sally | 0.610 | 0.613 |
| 6 | Fear Of Wings | 0.612 | 0.643 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.