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The Irish Retired Greyhound Trust A5 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salsa Venusb 2y 9 | - | - | 62 | - | 70 (3) | 60 (2) | 51 (4) | 71 (1) | 50 (4) | 57 (2) | 59 (4) | 62 (4) | 67 (3) | 62 (3) | 2 | 28 | 15 | 25 | 61 | 52 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Roys Journeyd 2y 10 | David McKenna — 50% R8 W4 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 76 (1) | 59 (3) | 63 (2) | 34 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 32 | - | 39 | 60 | 51 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lilly Hopperb 4y 24 | - | - | 48 | - | 60 (2) | 63 (3) | 59 (3) | 63 (4) | 53 (6) | 71 (6) | 57 (1) | 61 (3) | 59 (2) | - | 16 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 61 | 45 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bawn Pauld 1y 13 | - | - | 44 | - | 60 (3) | 77 (1) | 62 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 23 | 12 | 23 | 66 | 44 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Nice Flightb 3y 7 | Brian Reilly — 39% R18 W7 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 60 (4) | 79 (1) | 64 (2) | 52 (6) | 60 (4) | 86 (1) | 81 (1) | 63 (4) | 71 (2) | 48 (5) | 9 | 41 | 60 | 41 | 66 | 52 | 4 | 15/8f | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Angel Wingsb 1y 13 | - | - | 40 | - | 52 (3) | 75 (1) | 70 (1) | 43 (6) | 42 (6) | 56 (4) | 57 (3) | 44 (4) | 49 (2) | - | 16 | 25 | 5 | 28 | 56 | 40 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salsa Venus | 29.33 | 29.77 | 29.33 | 62 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Nice Flight | 29.35 | 29.76 | 29.89 | 54 | +0.54 | 3 C&D wins | |
| 3 | Lilly Hopper | 29.47 | 29.85 | 30.03 | 48 | +0.56 | Grade dropper | |
| 4 | Bawn Paul | 29.51 | 29.91 | 30.21 | 44 | +0.70 | Lightly raced | |
| 2 | Roys Journey | 29.57 | 29.78 | 29.57 | 55 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 6 | Angel Wings | 29.73 | 30.10 | 29.99 | 40 | +0.26 | Worst draw |
A5 over Mullingar's 525 metres is the most speed-driven race on this card — the fastest dog in the field wins a remarkable 31% of these, half as much again as the top-rated runner manages, so the clock is the first and last word here. The draw barely matters at this grade: every box wins around 15% except trap 6, the one dead spot at 10%. That framing points straight at Salsa Venus, who is the quickest in the field on rating, owns the fastest recent time at 29.33, and ran exactly that figure last time out — she arrives in career-best fettle from the rail. Roys Journey is the dangerous improver after a 76-rated win at A6, and Nice Flight, three times a winner over this course and distance, is the proven article if the principals leave the door open. Angel Wings has the worst of the clock and the worst of the draw.
Everything the key statistic asks for. At this grade the fastest dog wins three in ten, and she is the fastest here on every measure — best speed figure in the field, quickest recent time at 29.33, and she ran that exact time last week when a close third at this level. Her recent form reads third, second, fourth at A5 with a win at A7 four starts back, and ten runs over this course and distance mean no questions about the track. Drawn on the rail with the field's best pace, she should be in front where it matters.
The improver and the clear danger. Only four career runs, but they read third, second, then a 76-rated win at A6 last time — the best last-race performance in this field — and he's placed or won in all three course-and-distance starts. The step up to A5 is the question, and one run doesn't make him a 76 dog, but the David McKenna kennel has been in tremendous form and this dog has gone faster with every start. If the improvement is real he wins; the pick just has more proof.
The proven course specialist — three wins and five placings from ten runs over this course and distance, the best strike rate in the race, and he's been running in A4 company a grade above this. His peak rating of 86 six starts back is the highest figure anyone here has posted, and Brian Reilly's runners win a third of the time. The concern is the recent clock: his last run was over half a second off his best. On his best day he beats these; the question is freshness.
Consistent grade-dropper coming down from A4, where she ran second and third in her last two — solid, honest form against better dogs than these. The catch is the clock: her best of 29.47 leaves her behind the two principals and her last run was over half a second slower than that. Ten course-and-distance runs give her plenty of track craft, and trap 3 is fine at this grade. Likely to be in the mix without quite having the toe to win it.
Just three career runs but they include a 77-rated win at A6 two starts back — a figure that would make him competitive here if he repeats it. His last effort was a fair third at this grade, though the time was the slowest recent run in the field at 30.21. Three runs is far too few to trust an average, so treat him as an unknown with a flash of ability. Trap 4 is a perfectly fair box at this grade.
Won back-to-back races at A6 and A7 earlier this summer and has two wins from nine course-and-distance runs, so she knows the way home. But she's the slowest dog in the field on every clock measure, and trap 6 is the one genuinely bad box at this grade, winning just one in ten. Her third at this level last week was honest without threatening the front pair. Needs a messy race in front of her.
Key insight: The strongest speed signal at Mullingar: the fastest dog wins 31.0% at A5 525m (116 runs) versus just 19.0% for the top-rated dog — and it's the only profitable angle at the track. Trap draw is nearly flat; only trap 6 (10.1%) underperforms.
T1:15.2% T2:15.9% T3:15.3% T4:15.4% T5:13.3% T6:10.1%
901 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.