The Upcoming Events A4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolemount Ziggyd 3y 26 | Liam O'Rourke — 5% R41 W2 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 67 (3) | 54 (5) | 45 (5) | 69 (3) | 56 (5) | 67 (3) | 59 (4) | 74 (2) | 83 (2) | 63 (4) | 18 | - | - | 7 | 62 | 41 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pretty Rosieb 1y 24 | David Murray — 17% R70 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 62 (4) | 46 (6) | 84 (1) | 67 (1) | 41 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | 20 | 31 | 60 | 45 | 2 | 6/5f | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Clodcar Lillyb 3y 17 | - | - | 41 | - | 54 (5) | 81 (1) | 77 (1) | 60 (3) | 50 (4) | 54 (4) | 80 (1) | 46 (5) | 59 (4) | 73 (1) | 39 | 30 | 7 | 37 | 64 | 45 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tracerb 3y 8 | Rosemary Price — 33% R24 W8 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 66 (2) | 67 (3) | 43 (6) | 45 (6) | 65 (3) | 60 (4) | 50 (5) | 62 (4) | 50 (5) | 63 (2) | 16 | 20 | 25 | 18 | 58 | 48 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Racecourse Outb 2y 13 | - | - | 46 | - | 56 (5) | 59 (4) | 55 (5) | 44 (6) | 64 (4) | 48 (6) | 61 (4) | 65 (6) | 68 (4) | 60 (5) | - | 16 | 9 | 3 | 57 | 41 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coolemount Ziggy | 28.95 | 29.48 | 29.93 | 62 | +0.98 | Time set away | |
| 5 | Phoenix Duke | 29.19 | 29.58 | 29.44 | 64 | +0.25 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Racecourse Out | 29.25 | 29.94 | 30.07 | 46 | +0.82 | Thin course form | |
| 2 | Pretty Rosie | 29.32 | 29.76 | 29.95 | 51 | +0.63 | Worst trap | |
| 4 | Tracer | 29.33 | 29.98 | 29.33 | 55 | 0.00 | Best trap | |
| 3 | Clodcar Lilly | 29.39 | 29.90 | 30.31 | 41 | +0.92 | 4 C&D wins |
Back to A4 over Mullingar's 525 metres, where the race usually goes to the quickest engine — the fastest dog in the field wins nearly 29% at this grade against 21% for the top-rated — and trap 4 is the best box at 18.5% while trap 2 struggles at 10%. One dog towers over this field on the evidence: Phoenix Duke won this grade last week with an 85-rated run, has won four of his ten starts over course and distance, and holds the field's best speed figure and highest rating by a wide margin. His only enemy is geography — trap 5 wins just one in nine at this grade. Coolemount Ziggy brings the fastest raw time in the race from his Shelbourne Park days and could lead them a merry dance early, while Tracer has the golden trap 4 box and the hottest kennel. If Duke breaks anywhere near level, class should carry the day.
The standout bet on the card. Won this very grade last week with an 85-rated performance, has won four and placed in five more of his ten course-and-distance runs — a 90% in-the-frame record — and holds both the best speed figure and the top rating here by eight clear points. He's been rated 58 or better in every recent start, mixing A3 and A4 company, and his 29.19 best is within a length of the field's fastest. The single caveat is trap 5, a below-par box winning one in nine at this grade. Everything else about this profile wins this race.
The each-way angle everyone will spot: drawn in trap 4, the best box at this grade winning nearly one in five, trained by Rosemary Price whose 35% strike rate leads this card, and arriving off a season-best second at A5 last week that he backed up with the joint-best last-time clocking in this field. The catch is history — ten course-and-distance runs without a win, and his mid-grade form has swung between 43 and 67 all summer. Every structural factor loves him; his own finishing record doesn't.
The intriguing newcomer. His 28.95 best time is the fastest in this race by a couple of lengths, earned racing A2 and A3 company at Shelbourne Park, and his third at this grade last week — just his second run at Mullingar — suggests he's acclimatising. The questions are real though: no wins or placings from two course runs, a kennel winning barely one in sixteen, and his last clocking was nearly a second off that headline figure. If the Shelbourne speed shows up here he wins; two runs isn't enough to say it will.
A four-time course-and-distance winner who arrived at this grade via back-to-back wins at A5 and A6 last month, rated 77 and 81 in the process. Her first try at A4 last week brought a quiet fifth, and that's the worry — combined with the slowest speed figure in the field and a last clocking nearly a second off her best, it suggests the grade may have found her ceiling. Eight of ten course runs in the frame keeps her respectable, and trap 3 is fine here. Needs the step up to click second time around.
Two wins from four course-and-distance starts is a fine strike rate, and her 84-rated win at this grade three starts back is the kind of figure that wins this race. But the two runs since brought a sixth and a fourth rated in the 40s and 60s, and now she draws trap 2, the worst box at this grade at one win in ten. Five career runs is a thin book to judge from — she could be anything from an improver to a one-hit wonder. The draw tilts the guess towards the harder road.
Has been shuffling around mid-division all summer — fifth and fourth at this grade in his last two, with ratings stuck in the 50s. His 29.25 best is respectable and he's faced decent company including A2 dogs earlier in the year, but three course-and-distance runs have produced nothing and trap 6 is a below-par box at this grade. Nothing in the recent book suggests he suddenly finds the three lengths this field demands.
Key insight: Speed-first grade: the fastest dog wins 28.6% at Mullingar A4 525m (105 runs) versus 21.1% for the top-rated dog. Trap 4 best at 18.5% from 135 runs; trap 2 worst at 10.4%.
T1:13.8% T2:10.4% T3:14.8% T4:18.5% T5:10.7% T6:11.0%
809 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coolemount Ziggy | — | — | 0.560 |
| 2 | Pretty Rosie | — | 0.575 | 0.567 |
| 3 | Clodcar Lilly | — | — | 0.570 |
| 4 | Tracer | — | — | 0.571 |
| 5 | Racecourse Out | 0.555 | 0.561 | 0.570 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.