The consistency king — in the frame in seven of his ten course-and-distance runs with three wins, and second at this grade only last week. He's been rated 72 or better in four of his last five, form good enough to win this. The problem is the draw: trap 5 wins just 9% at Mullingar A3, the worst box on the track, and his last clocking was nearly a second off his best. Deserves respect on form; the box makes his path the hardest in the race.

Capable of the spectacular — he hit ratings of 87 and 81 when winning back-to-back races last month, and two wins from ten course-and-distance runs prove he finishes the job when things click. The trouble is the other days: a 48 and two sixth-place finishes also litter his recent book, so you never quite know which version turns up. Trap 3 is a solid box at this grade at 17%. If the good one shows up he troubles them all; the average one finishes mid-division.

Lands the statistically golden box — trap 4 wins nearly one in four at this grade, the best draw on the track — but he's the least likely occupant to cash it in. No wins from six course-and-distance runs, the slowest last-time clocking in the field at 30.36, and a kennel winning about one in eight. He did run a 71-rated second at A5 two starts back, so he's not without ability, but this is a tougher race than that one. The draw flatters his chance.

The wild card. His book is a rollercoaster — a 91-rated win at this grade three starts back, surrounded by efforts in the 30s and 40s, and his average time is over a second slower than his best. Rosemary Price's runners win 35% of the time, comfortably the best kennel strike rate in this race, which stops him being dismissed outright. But trap 6 wins under 12% at this grade and predicting his good days has defeated everyone so far. One for the brave at a price.