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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Daltond 4y 22 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 40 | 52 (4) | 64 (3) | 66 (3) | 39 (6) | 84 (2) | 47 (5) | 67 (3) | 72 (3) | 72 (5) | 52 (4) | 44 | 39 | - | - | 63 | 43 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Scuba Stevied 4y 34 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 67 (2) | 56 (4) | 48 (5) | 50 (4) | 65 (2) | 41 (6) | 34 (2) | 76 (1) | 50 (5) | 36 (2) | 6 | 28 | 27 | 17 | 55 | 34 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Use The Clockd 2y 18 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 46 (6) | 79 (1) | 80 (1) | 75 (1) | 74 (1) | 53 (4) | 73 (1) | 63 (2) | 40 (6) | 74 (1) | 42 | 41 | 37 | 75 | 71 | 51 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Deecee Karab 2y 6 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 72 | 79 (1) | 74 (2) | 42 (6) | 62 (3) | 45 (5) | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 63 (2) | 30 (5) | 39 | 34 | 31 | 40 | 63 | 52 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballyroe Bachd 1y 14 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 36 | 54 (5) | 35 (6) | 76 (1) | 47 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 12 | 23 | 52 | 33 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Raise The Beatb 2y 9 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 60 | 76 (1) | 61 (3) | 73 (1) | 53 (4) | 52 (5) | 65 (2) | 61 (2) | 65 (2) | 61 (3) | 36 (6) | 40 | 32 | 21 | 42 | 63 | 50 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Dalton | 28.59 | 28.90 | 28.59 | 44 | 0.00 | Fader, weakest trap | |
| 2 | Scuba Stevie | 28.26 | 28.77 | 28.71 | 49 | +0.45 | Closer | |
| 3 | Use The Clock | 28.46 | 28.69 | 28.50 | 51 | +0.04 | Won LTO, best trap | |
| 4 | Deecee Kara | 28.31 | 28.60 | 28.51 | 55 | +0.20 | Fastest in field | |
| 5 | Ballyroe Bach | 28.43 | 28.94 | 29.24 | 36 | +0.81 | Weakest recent form | |
| 6 | Raise The Beat | 28.42 | 28.70 | 28.42 | 53 | 0.00 | All-Rounder, won LTO |
This A4 462-metre race sits at Kinsley, where the downhill run into the first bend still shapes the early stages even at the longer trip. The grade-specific pattern here is stark — trap 3 has been the standout box in A4 company, winning over 20%, while trap 1 has collapsed to under 12%, one of the weakest single-trap readings anywhere on this card. Use The Clock gets that plum trap 3 draw and arrives on the back of a course-and-distance win last time out, with a performance level well clear of the rest of this field even though she's a confirmed closer. Deecee Kara is the fastest on the clock and races prominently before fading, giving her every chance to be involved from the first bend onwards. Ballyroe Bach, out in trap 5, has the weakest recent level of the six and looks held to prove she belongs at this grade.
Won last time out at this course and distance and her average performance rating is streets clear of this field — a full eight points above the next best dog, which is a genuine gap at this level. She's a closer by profile, which normally carries a caution at Kinsley given the downhill run to the first bend, but she's drawn in trap 3, comfortably the best-performing box in this exact grade, and her level is high enough to make the running-style concern secondary. Six from six recent runs have been solid, form reading 79, 80, 75, 74, 53, 73 — remarkably consistent at a high level.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and races up with the pace before fading late, which suits Kinsley's downhill run into the first bend better than a pure closer's style would. Runner-up last time out and her recent form has been strong — 74, 42, 62, 45, 80, 79 — showing she can produce a big performance when it clicks. Trap 4 is a solid, above-average draw in this grade. The clear alternative if the top-rated dog's closing style doesn't get the run of the race.
Fast away but fades in the closing stages, and he's drawn in trap 1 which has collapsed to under 12% in this specific grade — one of the weakest single-trap readings on the whole card. Form has bounced between 64 and 39 over his last six with a third-place finish last time out. He'd need a career-best to overcome the draw alone. Others fit the conditions far better today.
A patient runner who comes from off the pace and has been reliable in doing so — very consistent pace figures. Fastest single time in this field but his overall average sits below most of these rivals, and form has been steady rather than spectacular — 56, 48, 50, 65, 41, 34. Fourth last time out. Trap 2 is a fair, if unremarkable, draw. Others have more going for them today.
Comes from off the pace and does so very consistently, but the level simply isn't there yet — lowest average performance rating and slowest recorded time in this field, with only three runs of recent form to judge her on: 35, 76, 47. Last time out she finished last of six. Trap 5 has been below the sample average in this grade too. A big step up is needed before she's competitive at this level.
Won last time out, albeit a grade below today's company, and races in a versatile, balanced style that should let her cope with however the pace unfolds. Form has been solid through her recent starts — 76, 61, 73, 53, 52, 65 — and the model's scoring systems rate her competitively even without a standout trap. Trap 6 sits around the sample average for this grade. Third choice on the numbers but not one to completely dismiss.
Key insight: Trap 3 is clearly the strongest box in A4 grade at 20.7%, with trap 1 the weakest by some distance at 11.7% — a near double-digit gap that's one of the sharpest grade-specific trap splits at this track. The composite's top pick wins only 17.6%, barely ahead of the second-best dog at 18.0%, so the blended rating isn't the deciding factor here.
T1:11.7% T2:17.2% T3:20.7% T4:19.1% T5:14.2% T6:16.1%
1,841 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Dalton | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Scuba Stevie | 39 | 68 | Closer |
3Use The Clock | 47 | 55 | Closer |
4Deecee Kara | 64 | 28 | Fader |
5Ballyroe Bach | 28 | 80 | Closer |
6Raise The Beat | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 450m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Dalton | — | 0.635 | 0.630 | 0.625 | 0.613 |
| 2 | Scuba Stevie | 0.619 | — | — | 0.622 | — |
| 3 | Use The Clock | — | — | — | 0.622 | — |
| 4 | Deecee Kara | 0.628 | — | — | 0.619 | — |
| 5 | Ballyroe Bach | — | — | — | 0.626 | — |
| 6 | Raise The Beat | — | — | — | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.