| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Limited Blued 1y 7 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 22 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 22 | 18 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Island Magsb 4y 19 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 21 (6) | 22 (5) | 20 (6) | 21 (5) | 32 (3) | 21 (5) | 36 (1) | 23 (4) | 26 (4) | 33 (1) | 34 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 25 | 23 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Darraghs Bonod 3y 16 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 19 (6) | 18 (5) | 16 (5) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 19 (6) | 18 (6) | 19 (6) | 19 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 22 | 21 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Move Over Manlyd 1y 3 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 23 (5) | 29 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 29 | 24 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Deecee Bonnieb 2y 24 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 48 (5) | 54 (3) | 59 (3) | 50 (3) | 41 (6) | 39 (6) | 54 (4) | 47 (4) | 62 (2) | 59 (2) | 48 | 24 | - | 15 | 51 | 32 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Limited Blue | 16.94 | 17.06 | 17.17 | 45 | +0.23 | Very limited experience | |
| 3 | Island Mags | 16.56 | 16.94 | 17.01 | 56 | +0.45 | Fastest, best trap | |
| 4 | Darraghs Bono | 16.71 | 17.10 | 17.22 | 47 | +0.51 | Off recent form | |
| 5 | Move Over Manly | 16.87 | 16.87 | 16.87 | 55 | 0.00 | Worst trap, thin sample | |
| 6 | Deecee Bonnie | No recorded form over 268m — all recent races have been at 462m. Times not comparable. | — | No 268m form | ||||
Back over the sprint trip at D4 grade, where trap 3 has been the standout box at Kinsley all night — more than a quarter of D4 winners over 268 metres have come from there — while trap 5 has been close to a dead box at under 10%. That split falls right in this race's favour: Island Mags gets the prime trap 3 draw, is the fastest dog in the field on the clock, and the site's scoring systems agree on her more strongly than any other runner. Move Over Manly rates highest on the blended model but is drawn in the weakest box in this exact sample, undermining his case. Deecee Bonnie has by far the biggest raw performance figure of the six, but it comes entirely from form at the longer 462-metre trip — she has no recorded form at all over this sprint distance, so that number needs treating with real caution.
Fastest recorded time in this field and drawn in trap 3, comfortably the strongest box in this exact D4 sample at Kinsley over the sprint trip — more than a quarter of winners have come from there. She's also the dog the site's scoring systems agree on most, with the best overall consensus in the race. Fifth last time out but with a solid recent level across six starts — 22, 20, 21, 32, 21, 36. The combination of the fastest clock time, the best trap and the strongest model backing makes her the clear pick.
Rates highest on the blended model and posts a strong recorded speed, but that comes from just a single graded run so far — early days for reading his true level, and the model's confidence in him should be taken with a pinch of salt until he's tested again. Third last time out. The bigger concern is the draw: trap 5 has been close to a dead box in this exact D4 sample, one of the weakest trap readings on the whole card. The pace looks live but the draw is working hard against him.
Just two graded starts on record, both producing an identical performance rating of 22, so there's very little to judge him on yet beyond a modest early level. Fourth last time out. Slowest recorded time in this field. Trap 2 is a fair box in this D4 sample. Simply hasn't shown enough yet to be considered against this kind of opposition.
Sixth last time out and his most recent figures have dipped — 19, 18, 16 across his last three compared with 32, 24, 31 a little further back, a downward trend though not a disqualifying one on its own. Trap 4 is a reasonable, roughly average draw here. Some ability evident in his earlier form but he needs to rediscover it.
By far the biggest raw performance figure in this field, but every bit of that form has come at the longer 462-metre trip — she has no recorded form at all over this sprint distance, so there's a genuine unknown over whether that level carries down to the shorter trip. She's also a dog who tends to fade in the closing stages, a running style that needs to hold up over a much shorter, sharper race than she's used to. Third last time out at the longer trip. Interesting on class alone, but the distance switch is a real question mark.
Key insight: Trap 3 has produced 25.9% of D4-grade winners at Kinsley over 268 metres, the strongest single-trap reading anywhere on today's card, while trap 5 has collapsed to just 9.9%. Speed Rank 1 wins 23.6%, well clear of Composite Rank 1 at 17.9%.
T1:18.7% T2:18.2% T3:25.9% T4:17.1% T5:9.9% T6:17.7%
1,968 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Limited Blue | 0.630 | — |
| 3 | Island Mags | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | Darraghs Bono | 0.638 | — |
| 5 | Move Over Manly | 0.629 | — |
| 6 | Deecee Bonnie | — | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.