Won last time out but that was at a much higher grade and longer trip over 462 metres, so it tells us little about her over this shorter sprint tonight. Her figures at this trip and grade have been modest — 21 average against a field where the top two are rated well clear. Trap 2 is a fair box but nothing special. Drops in sharply and needs to prove the class edge carries across the different conditions.

Won last time out, but that was a grade below tonight's company, so there's a step up to negotiate. Races in a versatile, balanced style and her figures have been climbing — 30, 27, 21, 28, 36, 43 — showing gradual improvement. Trap 4 is a fair, if unremarkable, draw for this grade. Third string on the numbers, worth including in wider bets but not a leading threat to the front two.

Drawn in the box that's collapsed to under 10% in this exact D4 sample, easily the weakest structural draw on the card, and the slowest recorded time in this field to go with it. Fifth last time out and her recent figures have been drifting the wrong way — 22, 46, 53, 51, 49, 57, reading oldest peaks down to a recent low. Very hard to make a case with the draw working so strongly against her.

Some of his recent conditioning has come through trials rather than open racing, which adds a note of caution to how reliable his times are in a competitive pack. When he has raced open company his figures have been solid enough — 23, 25, 15, 29, 26, 28 — and he was runner-up last time out. Trap 6 is a fair, middling draw. Capable of picking up a place if things fall right, but there are stronger, more provable cases elsewhere in this field.